Week 1 report · Thu, Sep 3 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
0–1 · unrated
14–54Final
AP #25Missouri
5–1 · Ours #21 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.MIZ −55.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −31.3 · Arkansas-Pine Bluff covered by 15.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Garrison Davis
6/13 · 50 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.24
- Comp %
- 46.2
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Relieved in Q1 by 5163068
Austin Simmons17/19 · 252 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.9198th pct
- Comp %
- 89.5
- TD
- 4
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Relieved in Q2 by Matt Zollers
No 2026 stats for Arkansas-Pine Bluff (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Arkansas-Pine Bluff0–1
Lat Missouri14–54covered +55.5
at Missouri14–54covered +55.5Missouri5–1 · 25th-hardest schedule
Wvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff54–14missed −55.5
W
at Kansas38–21covered −4
at Kansas38–21covered −4W
vs Troy27–17missed −27
vs Troy27–17missed −27L
at Mississippi State24–31missed +3.5
at Mississippi State24–31missed +3.5W
vs Florida45–17covered +5.5
vs Florida45–17covered +5.5W
vs Texas A&M27–6covered −3.5
vs Texas A&M27–6covered −3.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 3, 7:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is