Weekly release

Week 0

Preseason edition · Pregame lines are posted. Results will fill in after kickoff.

2026CollegePreseason
Edition status

Upcoming

0/8games final
avg performance gap
63+ point model gaps

The slate

8 games · ours vs market at prediction · graded

Trend Watch

recent form vs established baseline
No trend signal yet.
Trend Watch begins after this season has completed games.

Model vs market at prediction

pinch or ⌘/ctrl + scroll to zoom
−30−150+15+30−30−150+15+30Market at prediction — home marginOur lineSacramento State at Eastern MichiganNew Mexico State at Florida StateJacksonville State at North Dakota StateHawai'i at StanfordNorth Carolina at TCUMemphis at UNLVSan José State at USCNC State at Virginia
CoverMissPushaway · home
Tap a logo for the detail.

Each pair of logos is one game: our line up, the market's across, the dashed line where we agree. Distance from it is only how far we disagreed — the board prices what that is worth (Play or Pass at a DK or FanDuel price, calibrated to the record). After kickoff the dot under each pair says how the side we leaned graded against the close.

Report card

closed-book results
The report card publishes as games become final.

Descriptive fitted margin, not a causal score or win probability.