Our computer's line for every game next to the betting line, graded after the final. How it works
The Board — Week 7
Week 7 report →Oct 13, 12:07 PM EDTprices refresh at 7:05 AM ET daily, at noon and 6 PM on game days, and inside the hour before kickoff
Week 7
Tue, Oct 13 · 7:00 PM ETPassNo bet: our line and the best DraftKings or FanDuel price don't beat the bookmaker's cut on this side.
MatchupWin probHow often each team wins the game outright when we play it out thousands of times from our line.
DEL62%
MTSU38%Our lineOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7.DEL −4.6
MarketThe betting line right now: the middle of the sportsbooks we track, updated through the day.DEL −1.0first DEL −2.5The DraftKings/FanDuel number captured in the hours after the week's lines opened on Sunday. Oct 11, 3:05 PM EDT — the market has moved away from our number since
Our callThe side our line says to take, with each sportsbook's number and price for it. The chip at the top says whether it is worth a bet. · DEL
DK−1.5-105-1.9%
FD−1.5-106-2.4%
booklinepriceEVExpected value: what a bet at that price returns on average, as a share of the stake, if our cover odds are right. Above zero means it beats the bookmaker's cut.
DK−1.5-105-1.9%FD−1.5-106-2.4%Tue, Oct 13 · 8:00 PM ETPassNo bet: our line and the best DraftKings or FanDuel price don't beat the bookmaker's cut on this side.
MatchupWin probHow often each team wins the game outright when we play it out thousands of times from our line.
FIU39%
JXST61%Our lineOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7.JXST −4.5
MarketThe betting line right now: the middle of the sportsbooks we track, updated through the day.JXST −3.0first JXST −2.5The DraftKings/FanDuel number captured in the hours after the week's lines opened on Sunday. Oct 11, 3:05 PM EDT — the market has moved toward our number since
Our callThe side our line says to take, with each sportsbook's number and price for it. The chip at the top says whether it is worth a bet. · JXSTFD−2.5-124-2.5%DK−3-110-3.0%
booklinepriceEVExpected value: what a bet at that price returns on average, as a share of the stake, if our cover odds are right. Above zero means it beats the bookmaker's cut.
FD−2.5-124-2.5%DK−3-110-3.0%