Power Ratings
the numbers behind every lineOct 13, 7:39 AM EDTMondays for the NFL and Tuesdays for college, after the week's games settle
Team
1 ▲1
#1GeorgiaSEC6–0+25.91——+0.3Won 6, earned 5.7 → luck +0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 5 W 0.99 · Wk 6 W 0.74.−3.1433rd+0.30554.1%2+0.3713+0.231117.9%4−0.17632.5%5−0.2012−0.14149.3%2229.26159.3123
#1Georgia2 ▼1
#2Notre DameFBS Independents6–0+25.42——+0.3Won 6, earned 5.7 → luck +0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.91 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 5 W 0.82 · Wk 6 W 1.00.−1.0272nd+0.251153.9%3+0.3712+0.163511.6%99−0.21330.3%1−0.324−0.09246.0%132.71066.758
#2Notre Dame3 ▲1
#4Ohio StateBig Ten5–1+23.63——+0.1Won 5, earned 5.0 → luck +0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.05 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 W 0.95 · Wk 5 W 0.97 · Wk 6 W 0.98.−0.72521st+0.221952.5%5+0.426+0.029514.0%42−0.092334.9%19−0.1523−0.00628.3%1021.913568.838
#4Ohio State4 ▼1
#6AlabamaSEC5–1+23.54——−0.2Won 5, earned 5.2 → luck −0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 W 0.94 · Wk 6 L 0.26.+9.811st+0.29749.2%20+0.3515+0.24917.8%5−0.014236.7%27−0.0156−0.025214.1%11631.32464.781
#6Alabama5 ▲1
#3MiamiACC5–0+20.55——+0.4Won 5, earned 4.6 → luck +0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.61 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 5 W 0.96.−9.610615th+0.32257.4%1+0.443+0.201815.2%25−0.082837.6%37+0.0575−0.3819.0%2030.63866.856
#3Miami6 ▼1
#11UtahBig 125–0+19.66——+0.5Won 5, earned 4.5 → luck +0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 W 0.58 · Wk 6 W 0.96.−7.18020th+0.173652.0%6+0.2532+0.105714.5%34−0.16832.9%8−0.1031−0.2428.7%1431.62169.433
#11Utah7 ▲2
#5IndianaBig Ten6–0+18.77——+0.5Won 6, earned 5.5 → luck +0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.91 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 W 0.78 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 W 0.83.−5.9666th+0.30448.0%33+0.462+0.153618.1%3−0.043435.9%25−0.0350−0.06339.7%2928.67259.0125
#5Indiana8 ▼1
#22LSUSEC4–2+18.68——−1.1Won 4, earned 5.1 → luck −1.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.37 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 L 0.75.−1.12932nd+0.144748.0%31+0.1743+0.115514.7%32−0.25230.9%2−0.306−0.1889.8%3332.61281.01
#22LSU9 ▼1
#7TexasSEC4–1+17.69——+0.6Won 4, earned 3.5 → luck +0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 W 0.94 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 W 0.34 · Wk 6 L 0.19.+9.127th−0.0111243.5%64−0.03110+0.009811.0%107−0.17733.8%15−0.1225−0.2347.7%529.94869.628
#7Texas10
#13MissouriSEC5–1+16.410——−0.1Won 5, earned 5.1 → luck −0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.96 · Wk 3 W 0.98 · Wk 4 L 0.22 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 W 0.98.−1.73214th+0.154442.1%82+0.3317−0.0210514.1%39−0.151232.9%9−0.1620−0.141511.0%5329.65267.550
#13Missouri11 ▲9
#9Ole MissSEC4–1+15.311——+0.8Won 4, earned 3.2 → luck +0.8. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.62 · Wk 2 W 0.97 · Wk 3 W 0.63 · Wk 4 L 0.01 · Wk 6 W 0.99.+2.41316th+0.25951.9%7+0.2924+0.211512.1%87+0.1812246.1%120+0.29129+0.109713.8%11023.812866.462
#9Ole Miss12 ▲1
#8BYUBig 125–0+12.912——+0.3Won 5, earned 4.7 → luck +0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.93 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 5 W 0.90 · Wk 6 W 0.92.−6.1699th+0.222150.8%11+0.2826+0.172913.8%47−0.131634.0%16−0.1913−0.05399.8%3230.73660.8113
#8BYU13 ▲5
#12UCLABig Ten5–0+12.513——+0.8Won 5, earned 4.2 → luck +0.8. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.98 · Wk 3 W 0.75 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 6 W 0.45.−0.6245th+0.154546.7%43−0.02104+0.26615.4%23−0.15933.7%13−0.1815−0.121711.4%6532.8765.669
#12UCLA14 ▼2
#14TennesseeSEC5–1+12.314——−0.4Won 5, earned 5.4 → luck −0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.97 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 L 0.66 · Wk 5 W 0.95 · Wk 6 W 0.81.−4.35422nd+0.106843.2%68−0.16128+0.28212.0%90−0.141439.5%55−0.351+0.1110510.2%3829.65467.847
#14Tennessee15 ▲10
#21Wake ForestACC5–1+11.915——+0.7Won 5, earned 4.3 → luck +0.7. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 W 0.12 · Wk 3 L 0.40 · Wk 4 W 0.79 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 W 0.99.−0.52211th+0.221848.2%27+0.3121+0.124915.9%13+0.057743.0%92+0.15101−0.08289.0%1928.17965.273
#21Wake Forest16 ▼2
NebraskaBig Ten5–1+11.716——−0.1Won 5, earned 5.1 → luck −0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.97 · Wk 4 W 0.94 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 L 0.17.−6.17129th+0.231746.9%42+0.2336+0.221214.0%44−0.151132.6%7−0.247−0.053810.6%4831.81872.216
Nebraska17 ▲16
#17IowaBig Ten5–1+11.617——+0.8Won 5, earned 4.2 → luck +0.8. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.75 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 W 0.54 · Wk 5 L 0.02 · Wk 6 W 0.91.−3.24618th+0.144847.0%40+0.1552+0.134713.5%51−0.005437.2%32+0.23117−0.22510.4%4528.47461.7109
#17Iowa18 ▼7
OregonBig Ten3–2+11.418——−0.5Won 3, earned 3.5 → luck −0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.90 · Wk 2 L 0.15 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 W 0.92 · Wk 6 L 0.55.−0.32037th+0.097241.3%93+0.1742−0.0310714.7%33−0.082738.8%48−0.0738−0.092210.4%4326.011568.839
Oregon19 ▼3
WisconsinBig Ten4–1+10.819——+0.1Won 4, earned 3.9 → luck +0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.01 · Wk 2 W 0.97 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 W 0.89 · Wk 5 W 0.99.−2.83927th+0.087738.3%123+0.0487+0.125113.0%63−0.121735.2%21−0.219−0.03446.8%325.711860.4115
Wisconsin20 ▼3
#10Texas TechBig 125–0+10.720——+0.7Won 5, earned 4.3 → luck +0.7. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.71 · Wk 2 W 0.96 · Wk 3 W 0.67 · Wk 4 W 0.97 · Wk 5 W 0.99.−7.68713th−0.0311646.7%43+0.0198−0.0611613.4%54−0.112038.3%44−0.1130−0.111911.4%6428.18167.052
#10Texas Tech21 ▲1
OklahomaSEC3–2+10.521——+0.2Won 3, earned 2.8 → luck +0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.22 · Wk 3 W 0.80 · Wk 4 L 0.01 · Wk 6 W 0.80.+8.4426th−0.1213436.4%127−0.06115−0.191369.1%130−0.111932.5%6−0.2011−0.04429.3%2327.010360.4115
Oklahoma22 ▲17
#20HoustonBig 125–1+10.422——+0.2Won 5, earned 4.8 → luck +0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.92 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 L 0.33 · Wk 4 W 0.58 · Wk 5 W 0.98 · Wk 6 W 0.96.−3.04112th+0.251352.9%4+0.397+0.134412.6%71+0.047140.4%67+0.0988−0.044110.9%5031.71970.525
#20Houston23 ▲7
#19USCBig Ten6–1+10.223——+0.9Won 6, earned 5.1 → luck +0.9. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.99 · Wk 2 W 0.86 · Wk 3 W 0.49 · Wk 4 L 0.08 · Wk 5 W 0.88 · Wk 6 W 0.82.+0.2178th+0.231651.2%10+0.435+0.039114.4%35+0.1411241.1%70+0.281250.006311.5%6830.34369.036
#19USC24 ▲7
ArizonaBig 125–1+10.224——+0.0Won 5, earned 5.0 → luck +0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.07 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 W 0.96 · Wk 5 W 0.99 · Wk 6 W 0.95.−8.69725th+0.202750.3%15+0.3319+0.058515.5%21+0.005635.6%23−0.0060+0.01689.7%2730.63766.363
Arizona25 ▲15
South CarolinaSEC3–3+10.225——−0.4Won 3, earned 3.4 → luck −0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.98 · Wk 3 L 0.05 · Wk 4 L 0.01 · Wk 5 L 0.39 · Wk 6 W 0.99.−0.72663rd+0.173843.8%61+0.1066+0.25713.2%59+0.1310841.9%81+0.23120−0.015712.5%8929.35871.517
South Carolina26 ▼11
#25NorthwesternBig Ten4–1+9.926——−0.1Won 4, earned 4.2 → luck −0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.94 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 L 0.21 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 W 1.00.−6.47636th+0.30650.7%12+0.3220+0.27419.0%1+0.036643.8%97+0.0061+0.078611.4%6529.65360.6114
#25Northwestern27 ▼6
#16Mississippi StateSEC4–1+9.727——+0.3Won 4, earned 3.8 → luck +0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.96 · Wk 3 W 0.95 · Wk 4 W 0.78 · Wk 5 L 0.06.+5.8710th+0.202648.7%21+0.2435+0.163217.8%6+0.089741.8%79+0.17106−0.053511.1%5627.49271.019
#16Mississippi State28
#15KentuckySEC5–1+9.728——+1.4Won 5, earned 3.6 → luck +1.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 L 0.00 · Wk 3 W 0.73 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 W 0.61 · Wk 6 W 0.25.+3.0114th+0.087848.2%29+0.0197+0.154013.9%46+0.089945.4%114+0.0164+0.1712210.2%3929.55664.781
#15Kentucky29 ▼6
BaylorBig 124–1+9.529——−0.3Won 4, earned 4.3 → luck −0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.48 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.94 · Wk 4 W 0.86 · Wk 5 W 0.97.−8.69639th+0.038841.6%90+0.1065−0.0611413.0%65−0.111833.1%10−0.0739−0.17910.6%4730.14479.82
Baylor30 ▲8
LouisvilleACC3–3+9.430——−1.1Won 3, earned 4.1 → luck −1.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.38 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.95 · Wk 4 L 0.21 · Wk 5 L 0.57 · Wk 6 W 0.99.−0.42162nd+0.30349.6%17+0.3416+0.28318.6%2+0.1310941.7%76+0.23118+0.037611.0%5226.411162.2105
Louisville31 ▼2
#23Boise StatePac-125–1+9.231——+0.2Won 5, earned 4.8 → luck +0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.10 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 W 0.97 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 W 0.97 · Wk 6 W 0.74.−4.55719th+0.222248.2%28+0.2433+0.201612.3%80+0.058037.6%38+0.1090−0.034815.4%12931.22971.019
#23Boise State32 ▼5
New MexicoMountain West4–1+9.032——−0.2Won 4, earned 4.2 → luck −0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.20 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 W 1.00.−14.513452nd+0.106643.7%62+0.0486+0.144114.3%36−0.29131.2%3−0.342−0.2338.9%1633.3365.075
New Mexico33 ▼7
Texas A&MSEC3–3+7.933——−0.3Won 3, earned 3.3 → luck −0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.97 · Wk 3 L 0.27 · Wk 4 L 0.00 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 L 0.01.+4.8855th−0.0612340.7%99−0.14126+0.048610.3%115−0.014839.7%58+0.0270−0.034316.3%13433.1669.531
Texas A&M34 ▲1
MichiganBig Ten3–2+7.934——+0.0Won 3, earned 3.0 → luck +0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.58 · Wk 2 W 0.78 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 L 0.47 · Wk 5 L 0.15.+0.21853rd+0.087642.4%78+0.1358+0.048710.8%110−0.151333.5%12−0.1817−0.12188.9%1728.08257.8130
Michigan35 ▼11
Penn StateBig Ten3–3+7.735——−0.3Won 3, earned 3.3 → luck −0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 L 0.11 · Wk 5 L 0.01 · Wk 6 L 0.18.+0.61671st+0.039039.6%110+0.1356−0.0812411.8%94−0.024040.3%65−0.1816+0.1410912.8%9222.013465.570
Penn State36 ▲8
KansasBig 122–3+6.836——−0.4Won 2, earned 2.4 → luck −0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.04 · Wk 3 L 0.29 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 L 0.04.−3.24593rd+0.125943.8%60+0.1548+0.086616.8%9−0.082535.7%24−0.0254−0.141310.0%3530.44070.624
Kansas37 ▼3
James MadisonSun Belt6–0+6.837——+1.0Won 6, earned 5.0 → luck +1.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.88 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.48 · Wk 4 W 0.96 · Wk 5 W 0.99 · Wk 6 W 0.69.−11.212017th+0.116045.4%50+0.1645+0.077213.3%58−0.024135.4%22+0.0162−0.05379.7%2821.413667.251
James Madison38 ▼1
DukeACC4–1+6.638——−0.3Won 4, earned 4.3 → luck −0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.77 · Wk 2 W 0.75 · Wk 3 W 0.98 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 6 L 0.78.−10.111042nd+0.212542.7%75+0.2434+0.182614.9%29+0.015738.9%50+0.0782−0.07308.7%1333.3469.628
Duke39 ▼20
FloridaSEC4–2+6.539——+0.4Won 4, earned 3.6 → luck +0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.56 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 L 0.01 · Wk 6 L 0.01.+1.31524th+0.251048.3%26+0.444+0.115315.6%18+0.1912544.5%106+0.17105+0.2313211.3%6031.91769.531
Florida40 ▲2
AuburnSEC3–2+6.140——+0.3Won 3, earned 2.6 → luck +0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.52 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 L 0.44 · Wk 4 W 0.64 · Wk 5 L 0.05.+3.31043rd+0.048641.6%91−0.01101+0.086513.8%50−0.015039.5%54−0.0934+0.07878.2%926.111469.036
Auburn41 ▲12
Oregon StatePac-124–2+6.141——−0.1Won 4, earned 4.1 → luck −0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.08 · Wk 2 L 0.05 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 W 0.98 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 W 0.99.−9.110259th+0.241551.3%9+0.3023+0.134515.6%16−0.014740.0%61+0.0165−0.03479.5%2531.42373.510
Oregon State42 ▲15
LibertyConference USA5–1+5.542——+0.6Won 5, earned 4.4 → luck +0.6. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.12 · Wk 2 W 0.38 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 W 0.94 · Wk 6 W 0.99.−13.213140th+0.193048.6%22+0.1841+0.202015.6%17−0.092233.1%10−0.1032−0.082911.6%7129.65563.097
Liberty43 ▼7
Florida StateACC3–3+5.543——−0.4Won 3, earned 3.4 → luck −0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.44 · Wk 3 L 0.00 · Wk 4 W 0.98 · Wk 5 W 0.98 · Wk 6 L 0.01.−1.33073rd+0.183344.8%52+0.1549+0.201715.8%14+0.2012944.7%109+0.31132+0.089313.5%10128.76864.584
Florida State44 ▼3
PittsburghACC5–1+5.144——+0.7Won 5, earned 4.3 → luck +0.7. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.81 · Wk 3 W 0.72 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 5 W 0.74 · Wk 6 L 0.08.−5.56528th+0.097542.5%77+0.1939−0.0410912.2%85−0.073134.1%17−0.0253−0.15119.7%3032.01572.315
Pittsburgh45 ▲1
#24SMUACC4–1+4.845——+0.6Won 4, earned 3.4 → luck +0.6. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.51 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 L 0.04 · Wk 4 W 0.95 · Wk 5 W 0.89.−8.39334th+0.173949.4%19+0.3711−0.0511115.4%22+0.026036.9%30−0.0158+0.047812.5%9128.47568.046
#24SMU46 ▼3
North Dakota StateMountain West5–1+4.746——+0.1Won 5, earned 4.9 → luck +0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.99 · Wk 2 W 0.40 · Wk 3 W 0.97 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 L 0.52.−13.013041st+0.038941.7%88+0.1163−0.0310614.9%30−0.17537.5%35−0.333−0.073110.2%4129.65164.088
North Dakota State47 ▲2
MemphisAmerican Athletic5–1+4.747——+0.2Won 5, earned 4.8 → luck +0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.80 · Wk 2 L 0.00 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 W 0.99.−11.512234th+0.26850.7%13+0.389+0.182717.5%7+0.089539.8%59−0.1128+0.2613614.6%12027.68967.052
Memphis48 ▲11
North CarolinaACC3–2+4.648——+0.2Won 3, earned 2.8 → luck +0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.67 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 L 0.01 · Wk 5 L 0.18 · Wk 6 W 0.92.+0.11933rd−0.0010443.3%66−0.01102+0.019611.5%100−0.033743.9%99−0.0544−0.01556.6%226.311355.8135
North Carolina49 ▼17
Kansas StateBig 123–2+4.349——−0.3Won 3, earned 3.3 → luck −0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 W 0.89 · Wk 4 L 0.41 · Wk 6 L 0.04.−7.58577th+0.202848.1%30+0.2337+0.182812.4%78+0.057837.9%39+0.0886+0.037414.4%11931.13069.433
Kansas State50 ▼2
Iowa StateBig 123–3+4.250——−0.2Won 3, earned 3.2 → luck −0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.98 · Wk 2 L 0.24 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 L 0.43 · Wk 5 W 0.50 · Wk 6 L 0.09.−1.12864th+0.038739.4%114+0.0390+0.048912.8%68−0.014941.2%71−0.0155+0.006412.1%8030.43961.7109
Iowa State51 ▲10
#18Oklahoma StateBig 124–1+3.951——+0.2Won 4, earned 3.8 → luck +0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.08 · Wk 2 W 0.86 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 W 0.98 · Wk 6 W 0.89.−6.37230th+0.145048.5%24+0.2038+0.067715.3%24+0.047340.0%61+0.0166+0.07849.0%1830.44174.07
#18Oklahoma State52 ▼7
Virginia TechACC4–2+3.852——+0.1Won 4, earned 3.9 → luck +0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 W 0.68 · Wk 4 W 0.83 · Wk 5 L 0.26 · Wk 6 L 0.16.−9.010157th+0.096947.1%39+0.1164+0.087013.4%56+0.068738.0%40+0.1196−0.006012.2%8431.22874.07
Virginia Tech53 ▲7
North TexasAmerican Athletic4–2+3.653——+0.3Won 4, earned 3.7 → luck +0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.09 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.14 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 W 0.46 · Wk 6 W 0.99.−8.09148th+0.33148.6%23+0.511+0.105817.2%8+0.1110244.2%102+0.22115+0.016513.6%10532.31373.013
North Texas54 ▲1
TCUBig 122–3+3.654——−0.6Won 2, earned 2.6 → luck −0.6. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.33 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 W 0.97 · Wk 4 L 0.21 · Wk 5 L 0.11.−4.95997th−0.0411942.6%76+0.1068−0.2013711.1%106−0.102136.9%29−0.1621−0.05408.6%1131.13165.075
TCU55 ▲1
ClemsonACC3–2+3.655——+0.1Won 3, earned 3.0 → luck +0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 0.95 · Wk 3 W 0.98 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 L 0.03.+7.0531st−0.0712935.5%128−0.14125+0.019710.8%109−0.033642.0%84−0.2010+0.1611811.8%7527.78864.879
Clemson56 ▼4
VirginiaACC4–2+3.156——+0.2Won 4, earned 3.8 → luck +0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.98 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 L 0.06 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 5 L 0.02 · Wk 6 W 0.74.−7.99064th+0.116348.0%32+0.1547+0.087111.8%93+0.068139.7%56−0.0251+0.1210711.6%7231.22668.344
Virginia57 ▲1
Fresno StatePac-124–2+3.157——−0.1Won 4, earned 4.1 → luck −0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.98 · Wk 4 W 0.87 · Wk 5 W 0.99 · Wk 6 L 0.26.−5.06047th+0.125841.3%92+0.2729−0.0611514.2%38+0.047241.8%78−0.0640+0.1511111.3%6325.711959.5122
Fresno State58 ▼4
UCFBig 123–3+2.358——−0.0Won 3, earned 3.0 → luck −0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.19 · Wk 3 W 0.92 · Wk 4 W 0.79 · Wk 5 L 0.02 · Wk 6 L 0.12.−2.43661st+0.078140.2%104+0.0583+0.096212.4%77−0.005240.6%69+0.0885−0.092310.2%3727.39560.0119
UCF59 ▲8
UConnFBS Independents3–3+1.959——−1.0Won 3, earned 4.0 → luck −1.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.01 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 L 0.36 · Wk 5 L 0.75 · Wk 6 W 0.91.−10.3114105th+0.222345.3%51+0.1646+0.27516.3%11+0.068543.6%96+0.1194−0.015410.1%3628.37765.273
UConn60 ▼9
WashingtonBig Ten3–3+1.160——−0.5Won 3, earned 3.5 → luck −0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.94 · Wk 2 W 0.68 · Wk 3 W 0.97 · Wk 4 L 0.72 · Wk 5 L 0.12 · Wk 6 L 0.09.−4.95891st+0.058343.0%71+0.1355−0.0812112.3%82+0.005541.2%73+0.0781−0.063211.2%5928.96464.088
Washington61 ▲10
IllinoisBig Ten3–3+0.461——+0.6Won 3, earned 2.4 → luck +0.6. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.82 · Wk 2 L 0.26 · Wk 3 W 0.98 · Wk 4 L 0.05 · Wk 5 L 0.20 · Wk 6 W 0.07.−3.34781st+0.202949.6%18+0.2828+0.106113.9%45+0.2513646.1%119+0.41137+0.099511.0%5423.712962.2105
Illinois62 ▲1
CincinnatiBig 124–1+0.362——+0.5Won 4, earned 3.5 → luck +0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.98 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.96 · Wk 4 W 0.60 · Wk 5 L 0.00.−6.97838th+0.174144.8%53+0.1454+0.192312.9%67+0.079244.5%107+0.0574+0.1110413.3%9926.910464.287
Cincinnati63 ▼13
MinnesotaBig Ten4–2+0.163——+0.8Won 4, earned 3.2 → luck +0.8. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.03 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 W 0.28 · Wk 5 W 0.85 · Wk 6 L 0.02.−6.47544th−0.0311541.7%87+0.1067−0.2013812.4%76−0.033841.7%77−0.1324+0.089013.1%9632.21462.5100
Minnesota64 ▲11
UNLVMountain West4–2−0.164——+0.5Won 4, earned 3.5 → luck +0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.13 · Wk 2 L 0.01 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 5 W 0.86 · Wk 6 W 0.48.−3.95045th−0.0110836.5%126−0.01103−0.0010111.8%95−0.073038.1%41−0.0935−0.063414.0%11430.73466.065
UNLV65 ▲7
UTSAAmerican Athletic5–1−0.165——+0.8Won 5, earned 4.2 → luck +0.8. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 W 0.74 · Wk 3 L 0.01 · Wk 4 W 0.86 · Wk 5 W 0.65 · Wk 6 W 0.90.−7.07923rd+0.125446.7%45+0.0775+0.173011.5%102+0.1110341.3%74+0.1192+0.111067.9%626.510766.065
UTSA66 ▲22
PurdueBig Ten3–3−0.166——−0.9Won 3, earned 3.9 → luck −0.9. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.88 · Wk 3 L 0.25 · Wk 4 L 0.00 · Wk 5 W 0.81 · Wk 6 W 0.98.+2.11446th+0.212447.9%35+0.3122+0.115414.7%31+0.1711746.5%123+0.18109+0.1511618.6%13832.71168.541
Purdue67 ▼1
Georgia StateSun Belt4–1−0.167——+0.3Won 4, earned 3.7 → luck +0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.82 · Wk 3 L 0.07 · Wk 4 W 0.79 · Wk 5 W 0.99.−14.613554th+0.193247.1%38+0.3810+0.029416.4%10+0.079036.7%28−0.0642+0.2313115.1%12332.8869.433
Georgia State68 ▲8
Georgia TechACC2–3−0.168——+0.1Won 2, earned 1.9 → luck +0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.55 · Wk 2 L 0.03 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 L 0.06 · Wk 6 W 0.22.−6.877110th+0.087945.4%49+0.0680+0.105915.9%12+0.1711842.6%87+0.20111+0.1511511.3%6227.29762.4102
Georgia Tech69 ▼22
VanderbiltSEC3–3−0.269——−0.0Won 3, earned 3.0 → luck −0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.98 · Wk 2 W 0.76 · Wk 3 W 0.90 · Wk 4 L 0.36 · Wk 5 L 0.00 · Wk 6 L 0.01.−0.62368th+0.097140.9%98+0.0777+0.125011.3%105+0.057642.9%90+0.0679+0.037512.1%8331.32563.591
Vanderbilt70 ▼2
LouisianaSun Belt4–2−0.370——+0.9Won 4, earned 3.1 → luck +0.9. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.15 · Wk 3 W 0.19 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 5 W 0.59 · Wk 6 L 0.15.−12.312376th+0.135241.8%86+0.0292+0.201911.9%91+0.026142.9%91+0.16104−0.171011.1%5532.7964.088
Louisiana71 ▲2
Texas StatePac-122–3−0.671——−0.5Won 2, earned 2.5 → luck −0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.01 · Wk 2 L 0.27 · Wk 3 W 0.86 · Wk 4 W 0.97 · Wk 5 L 0.36.−5.06198th+0.183449.7%16+0.3514+0.058214.9%28+0.1311145.9%117+0.24122−0.053612.5%9030.73576.64
Texas State72 ▼2
South FloridaAmerican Athletic4–2−0.672——−0.0Won 4, earned 4.0 → luck −0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 W 0.74 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 W 0.87 · Wk 5 L 0.35 · Wk 6 L 0.10.−10.611867th+0.116146.9%41+0.0970+0.144210.9%108+0.015843.5%95+0.0473−0.024910.5%4621.213759.2124
South Florida73 ▲1
Arizona StateBig 123–2−0.873——+0.3Won 3, earned 2.7 → luck +0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.03 · Wk 3 W 0.71 · Wk 5 L 0.03 · Wk 6 W 0.97.−5.06258th+0.048544.8%54+0.0196+0.077515.5%19−0.023938.5%45−0.0543+0.027111.3%6129.25966.659
Arizona State74 ▲4
SyracuseACC2–3−0.974——−0.5Won 2, earned 2.5 → luck −0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.72 · Wk 3 L 0.28 · Wk 5 W 0.24 · Wk 6 L 0.26.−6.37489th+0.106442.4%80+0.1260+0.096412.4%79−0.015141.2%71−0.1522+0.1511213.2%9833.2579.63
Syracuse75 ▼6
Michigan StateBig Ten2–4−0.975——−0.9Won 2, earned 2.9 → luck −0.9. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.87 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.09 · Wk 4 L 0.05 · Wk 5 L 0.01 · Wk 6 L 0.93.+6.0690th−0.0110743.1%69+0.0293−0.031088.3%135+0.068841.8%80+0.16103−0.025110.3%4219.313864.877
Michigan State76 ▼12
West VirginiaBig 123–3−1.276——+0.0Won 3, earned 3.0 → luck +0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.47 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 W 0.94 · Wk 4 L 0.01 · Wk 5 L 0.50 · Wk 6 L 0.05.−4.35483rd+0.173742.9%72+0.0678+0.221313.2%60+0.2113246.5%125+0.32134+0.109816.0%13228.76976.05
West Virginia77
MarylandBig Ten2–4−1.477——−0.4Won 2, earned 2.4 → luck −0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.32 · Wk 4 L 0.01 · Wk 5 L 0.01 · Wk 6 L 0.03.+2.71280th+0.0010139.0%118−0.02106+0.048811.8%96+0.068943.8%97−0.0349+0.1612011.8%7324.812568.541
Maryland78 ▲1
East CarolinaAmerican Athletic3–2−2.178——−0.2Won 3, earned 3.2 → luck −0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.01 · Wk 2 L 0.56 · Wk 3 W 0.65 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 6 W 0.95.−8.39478th−0.0010339.8%106−0.04113+0.039011.9%92−0.141532.0%4−0.218−0.092611.5%6922.813162.2103
East Carolina79 ▲8
Western MichiganMid-American4–2−2.779——−0.1Won 4, earned 4.0 → luck −0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.42 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.91 · Wk 4 L 0.01 · Wk 5 W 0.74 · Wk 6 W 0.97.−9.410356th+0.039141.9%84−0.02105+0.06789.4%126+0.047441.9%83+0.1091−0.01599.8%3128.57360.3118
Western Michigan80 ▼15
NC StateACC3–3−2.780——+0.8Won 3, earned 2.2 → luck +0.8. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.02 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 L 0.10 · Wk 4 W 0.67 · Wk 5 W 0.43 · Wk 6 L 0.00.−3.54875th+0.154343.8%59+0.2631+0.058412.6%72+0.2413545.5%115+0.28126+0.1912415.3%12632.01670.227
NC State81 ▲2
ArkansasSEC2–4−2.881——−0.1Won 2, earned 2.1 → luck −0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.88 · Wk 2 L 0.01 · Wk 3 L 0.00 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 L 0.00 · Wk 6 L 0.19.+3.7984th−0.0713041.7%88−0.06116−0.091259.9%121+0.1210543.5%94−0.0446+0.2513513.3%10031.52267.847
Arkansas82 ▼2
Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic4–1−3.082——+1.0Won 4, earned 3.0 → luck +1.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.01 · Wk 2 W 0.28 · Wk 3 W 0.77 · Wk 4 W 0.97 · Wk 5 W 0.99.−12.812650th+0.097345.9%46+0.1453+0.03939.3%128+0.1411338.3%43+0.0680+0.2213015.3%12725.811774.66
Florida Atlantic83 ▼2
TulaneAmerican Athletic2–3−3.183——−0.1Won 2, earned 2.1 → luck −0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.23 · Wk 2 W 0.73 · Wk 3 L 0.11 · Wk 4 W 0.69 · Wk 6 L 0.37.−2.03488th+0.019733.3%134−0.10120+0.124812.0%89+0.1010141.9%82+0.18107+0.068312.1%8222.813258.2128
Tulane84 ▼22
ToledoMid-American4–2−3.484——+0.3Won 4, earned 3.7 → luck +0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.13 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.66 · Wk 4 W 0.90 · Wk 5 W 0.97 · Wk 6 L 0.06.−13.012987th+0.174042.4%79+0.2730+0.067915.1%27−0.005335.0%20+0.1089−0.10218.2%827.110268.344
Toledo85 ▲13
Air ForceMountain West4–1−3.685——+0.2Won 4, earned 3.8 → luck +0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.59 · Wk 4 W 0.53 · Wk 5 W 0.72 · Wk 6 W 0.97.−13.213251st+0.164248.3%25+0.0488+0.182410.7%112−0.014337.6%36−0.0836+0.047912.2%8535.7173.411
Air Force86 ▲16
OhioMid-American4–2−3.686——−0.1Won 4, earned 4.0 → luck −0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 0.83 · Wk 3 L 0.65 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 5 W 0.58 · Wk 6 W 0.99.−11.212170th+0.135347.8%36+0.0872+0.163412.3%81+0.1311042.9%89+0.23119+0.058011.9%7825.312263.296
Ohio87 ▲9
TroySun Belt3–2−4.087——+0.8Won 3, earned 2.3 → luck +0.8. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.67 · Wk 2 W 0.85 · Wk 3 L 0.03 · Wk 4 L 0.04 · Wk 6 W 0.66.−10.211179th+0.029342.3%81−0.08119+0.105612.6%74+0.047539.3%52+0.1499−0.082713.5%10233.6273.212
Troy88 ▼4
ArmyAmerican Athletic3–2−4.288——−0.2Won 3, earned 3.2 → luck −0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.25 · Wk 4 W 0.66 · Wk 5 L 0.70 · Wk 6 W 0.63.−10.511682nd+0.251251.5%8+0.2825+0.24812.8%69+0.2113143.9%100+0.25123+0.1612115.4%13028.18065.868
Army89 ▲4
CaliforniaACC3–3−4.389——+0.7Won 3, earned 2.3 → luck +0.7. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 0.28 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 L 0.01 · Wk 5 L 0.14 · Wk 6 W 0.84.−3.14274th−0.0211338.5%121+0.0194−0.0812310.5%114+0.047037.3%34−0.1226+0.2112813.5%10329.45771.318
California90 ▼5
Jacksonville StateConference USA4–2−4.390——+0.5Won 4, earned 3.5 → luck +0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.01 · Wk 2 L 0.17 · Wk 3 W 0.91 · Wk 4 W 0.88 · Wk 6 W 0.56.−10.611766th+0.193148.0%34+0.3318+0.068112.2%84+0.068443.3%93+0.0168+0.109911.9%7922.613361.5111
Jacksonville State91 ▲3
Georgia SouthernSun Belt2–4−4.391——−0.5Won 2, earned 2.5 → luck −0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 L 0.05 · Wk 3 L 0.09 · Wk 4 L 0.42 · Wk 5 W 0.66 · Wk 6 L 0.31.−5.164114th+0.058243.6%63+0.1262−0.0611312.2%83+0.036540.6%68+0.0167+0.047711.2%5728.08366.854
Georgia Southern92 ▼2
Florida InternationalConference USA3–2−4.692——+0.1Won 3, earned 2.9 → luck +0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.01 · Wk 2 W 0.81 · Wk 3 L 0.23 · Wk 4 W 0.84 · Wk 6 W 0.99.−12.412586th−0.1013138.7%120−0.07118−0.1413112.7%70−0.18433.7%14−0.1718−0.1966.9%431.03270.823
Florida International93 ▼4
ColoradoBig 122–3−5.193——+0.4Won 2, earned 1.6 → luck +0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.45 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.01 · Wk 4 L 0.13 · Wk 5 L 0.01.−1.53171st−0.0111140.9%95+0.0585−0.0711814.1%41−0.072936.3%26+0.0271−0.18712.8%9329.26273.013
Colorado94 ▲9
South AlabamaSun Belt4–2−5.394——+1.4Won 4, earned 2.6 → luck +1.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.83 · Wk 2 L 0.26 · Wk 3 W 0.35 · Wk 4 L 0.01 · Wk 5 W 0.63 · Wk 6 W 0.53.−10.511560th+0.173544.2%57+0.388+0.068012.5%75+0.3813851.1%136+0.37136+0.3913816.2%13329.16370.525
South Alabama95 ▼4
Miami (OH)Mid-American3–3−5.495——+0.6Won 3, earned 2.4 → luck +0.6. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 L 0.04 · Wk 4 W 0.64 · Wk 5 L 0.36 · Wk 6 W 0.40.−8.810094th+0.058440.4%101+0.1259−0.0411015.5%20+0.1411443.9%101+0.23116+0.02699.5%2628.76757.0131
Miami (OH)96 ▼14
TempleAmerican Athletic2–4−5.496——−0.3Won 2, earned 2.3 → luck −0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.85 · Wk 2 L 0.00 · Wk 3 L 0.34 · Wk 4 L 0.35 · Wk 5 W 0.65 · Wk 6 L 0.09.−6.067120th+0.144643.3%67+0.0584+0.202113.8%48+0.2012845.2%112+0.28127+0.1210813.8%10827.98557.8129
Temple97 ▲2
Louisiana TechSun Belt3–2−6.097——+0.8Won 3, earned 2.2 → luck +0.8. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.01 · Wk 3 L 0.05 · Wk 5 W 0.30 · Wk 6 W 0.85.−2.73849th+0.144940.9%96+0.1261+0.153915.8%15+0.036438.2%42−0.0157+0.068215.4%12824.612664.485
Louisiana Tech98 ▼1
Utah StatePac-122–4−6.398——+0.0Won 2, earned 2.0 → luck +0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.03 · Wk 2 L 0.32 · Wk 3 L 0.00 · Wk 4 W 0.96 · Wk 5 L 0.03 · Wk 6 W 0.62.−3.144109th−0.1313534.3%133−0.18129−0.0711912.1%88−0.063239.3%53−0.0837−0.03458.0%726.411062.799
Utah State99 ▼7
TulsaAmerican Athletic3–3−6.499——−0.5Won 3, earned 3.5 → luck −0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.92 · Wk 2 W 0.88 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 L 0.02 · Wk 5 L 0.54 · Wk 6 L 0.10.−8.69895th+0.097037.4%124−0.03107+0.23109.9%119+0.046740.3%66+0.0887−0.015811.5%6726.510866.264
Tulsa100
Boston CollegeACC2–3−6.4100——+1.0Won 2, earned 1.0 → luck +1.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.02 · Wk 2 W 0.51 · Wk 3 W 0.21 · Wk 4 L 0.17 · Wk 5 L 0.10.−7.989107th−0.0612639.2%116−0.23134+0.106014.0%43−0.082638.7%47−0.0252−0.13168.7%1227.88763.294
Boston College101 ▼6
Arkansas StateSun Belt2–4−7.1101——−0.7Won 2, earned 2.6 → luck −0.6. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.03 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.03 · Wk 4 W 0.73 · Wk 5 L 0.40 · Wk 6 L 0.47.−7.382118th+0.125550.3%14+0.1840+0.058314.2%37+0.1812047.6%127+0.22114+0.1511414.9%12229.65058.7127
Arkansas State102 ▲4
NavyAmerican Athletic2–3−7.3102——−1.2Won 2, earned 3.2 → luck −1.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.96 · Wk 2 L 0.72 · Wk 4 L 0.33 · Wk 5 L 0.28 · Wk 6 W 0.90.−12.3124116th+0.241447.3%37−0.03108+0.33113.3%57+0.068637.1%31+0.26124−0.10209.2%2130.73364.485
Navy103 ▲6
NevadaMountain West2–3−7.4103——−0.9Won 2, earned 2.9 → luck −0.9. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 L 0.17 · Wk 3 L 0.29 · Wk 4 L 0.47 · Wk 6 W 0.95.−17.1137132nd+0.029441.8%85−0.21130+0.211411.7%98+0.026338.9%51+0.0372+0.02709.9%3427.19964.683
Nevada104 ▲1
Washington StatePac-121–5−7.5104——−0.5Won 1, earned 1.5 → luck −0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.06 · Wk 2 L 0.01 · Wk 3 W 0.99 · Wk 4 L 0.04 · Wk 5 L 0.01 · Wk 6 L 0.38.−4.153131st−0.1213333.3%134−0.21131+0.00998.0%138−0.014540.1%63+0.0163−0.034613.0%9528.67160.0119
Washington State105 ▼19
App StateSun Belt3–2−7.8105——+0.2Won 3, earned 2.8 → luck +0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 W 0.43 · Wk 3 W 0.69 · Wk 4 L 0.34 · Wk 6 L 0.30.−14.913692nd+0.029639.0%117+0.1551−0.1312914.1%40−0.043539.9%60−0.1129+0.037310.2%4028.47666.659
App State106 ▼5
San Diego StatePac-122–4−8.7106——−0.3Won 2, earned 2.3 → luck −0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.99 · Wk 2 L 0.02 · Wk 3 L 0.53 · Wk 4 L 0.10 · Wk 5 W 0.64 · Wk 6 L 0.00.−2.637103rd−0.1113232.9%137−0.15127−0.091269.0%132+0.079148.2%131+0.14100−0.006111.2%5824.212759.7121
San Diego State107 ▼3
Eastern MichiganMid-American4–3−8.9107——+0.2Won 4, earned 3.8 → luck +0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.01 · Wk 2 L 0.01 · Wk 3 L 0.01 · Wk 4 W 0.98 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 W 0.76.−12.812799th−0.0110640.9%97−0.06117+0.07739.6%125+0.068341.5%75+0.1398−0.025012.9%9428.96566.065
Eastern Michigan108 ▲2
Kennesaw StateConference USA1–4−9.0108——−0.9Won 1, earned 1.9 → luck −0.9. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.18 · Wk 3 L 0.00 · Wk 4 L 0.27 · Wk 6 L 0.44.−7.384129th+0.106544.7%55+0.0679+0.153811.5%104+0.1210745.9%118+0.24121+0.016711.8%7626.510964.879
Kennesaw State109 ▲19
BuffaloMid-American3–3−9.5109——+0.3Won 3, earned 2.7 → luck +0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.76 · Wk 2 L 0.19 · Wk 3 L 0.01 · Wk 4 W 0.53 · Wk 5 L 0.27 · Wk 6 W 0.94.−12.9128101st−0.0712834.8%130−0.141240.001008.3%134+0.068237.3%33+0.1195−0.015611.8%7327.49373.89
Buffalo110 ▲6
Coastal CarolinaSun Belt2–4−9.8110——−0.3Won 2, earned 2.4 → luck −0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.53 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 L 0.13 · Wk 4 L 0.02 · Wk 5 L 0.34 · Wk 6 W 0.33.−10.1109127th+0.039238.4%122−0.03109+0.096313.4%53+0.1210446.4%121+0.0677+0.1611713.8%10928.96664.877
Coastal Carolina111 ▲14
Old DominionSun Belt2–4−10.0111——+0.0Won 2, earned 2.0 → luck +0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.88 · Wk 2 L 0.01 · Wk 3 L 0.36 · Wk 4 L 0.03 · Wk 5 L 0.01 · Wk 6 W 0.69.−6.170117th−0.1813630.6%138−0.28137−0.101289.7%124−0.151034.9%18−0.1619−0.151210.7%4922.913062.2105
Old Dominion112 ▲1
RiceAmerican Athletic1–5−10.1112——−0.6Won 1, earned 1.6 → luck −0.6. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.00 · Wk 3 L 0.08 · Wk 4 L 0.14 · Wk 5 L 0.35 · Wk 6 L 0.05.−2.335130th+0.0010239.5%113−0.22132+0.08679.2%129+0.026239.7%57−0.0545+0.089113.9%11230.14561.0112
Rice113 ▲1
StanfordACC2–4−10.4113——+0.6Won 2, earned 1.4 → luck +0.6. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.50 · Wk 3 L 0.01 · Wk 4 W 0.94 · Wk 5 L 0.00 · Wk 6 L 0.00.+8.7369th−0.0111037.0%125+0.0682−0.091279.9%122+0.2313348.5%133+0.22113+0.2413316.4%13527.59162.898
Stanford114 ▲1
MassachusettsMid-American4–2−10.5114——−0.5Won 4, earned 4.5 → luck −0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.94 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 W 0.98 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 5 L 0.00 · Wk 6 L 0.60.−20.2138108th+0.116242.8%73+0.1550+0.086813.8%49−0.082438.9%49−0.1914+0.02728.8%1527.69054.7137
Massachusetts115 ▼8
San José StateMountain West3–3−10.5115——+0.4Won 3, earned 2.6 → luck +0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.84 · Wk 2 W 0.86 · Wk 3 L 0.02 · Wk 5 W 0.46 · Wk 6 L 0.40.−9.5104102nd−0.0612739.5%112+0.0099−0.1413211.5%102+0.015942.3%86−0.0447+0.078810.4%4427.110067.847
San José State116 ▲2
DelawareConference USA2–3−10.8116——−0.2Won 2, earned 2.2 → luck −0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.23 · Wk 3 W 0.87 · Wk 4 L 0.00 · Wk 5 L 0.06.−7.788104th−0.0110939.8%107+0.0391−0.0511212.2%85+0.079344.2%103+0.0676+0.099611.5%6925.112363.294
Delaware117 ▲2
RutgersBig Ten1–4−11.0117——−1.1Won 1, earned 2.0 → luck −1.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.06 · Wk 2 L 0.48 · Wk 3 L 0.51 · Wk 4 W 0.99 · Wk 5 L 0.01.−5.163125th+0.078045.9%47+0.1744−0.0210412.9%66+0.1912448.2%130+0.1297+0.2513416.7%13731.22765.272
Rutgers118 ▲3
Colorado StatePac-122–3−11.2118——−0.1Won 2, earned 2.1 → luck −0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.98 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.00 · Wk 4 L 0.15 · Wk 5 L 0.00.−6.068106th+0.222045.8%48+0.2827+0.153711.7%97+0.3013753.6%138+0.30131+0.2913716.7%13625.712068.839
Colorado State119 ▲1
UABAmerican Athletic3–3−11.4119——−0.6Won 3, earned 3.6 → luck −0.6. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.18 · Wk 2 W 0.96 · Wk 3 L 0.80 · Wk 4 W 0.67 · Wk 5 W 1.00 · Wk 6 L 0.01.−10.211196th+0.097443.0%70−0.04111+0.17319.1%130+0.057945.2%111−0.1227+0.151139.4%2429.26065.570
UAB120 ▼9
Southern MissSun Belt1–4−11.5120——−0.7Won 1, earned 1.7 → luck −0.7. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.00 · Wk 2 L 0.00 · Wk 3 L 0.01 · Wk 4 L 0.32 · Wk 6 L 0.33.−7.383123rd+0.135144.2%58+0.1357+0.134313.1%61+0.1812345.3%113+0.16102+0.2012514.7%12127.29869.628
Southern Miss121 ▼4
New Mexico StateConference USA2–4−11.5121——−0.1Won 2, earned 2.1 → luck −0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.05 · Wk 2 L 0.04 · Wk 4 L 0.00 · Wk 5 W 0.97 · Wk 6 L 0.02.−8.799122nd−0.0412039.7%109−0.13122+0.067613.0%62−0.014440.3%64+0.0678−0.092512.4%8827.39463.392
New Mexico State122 ▲4
WyomingMountain West3–3−11.7122——+0.4Won 3, earned 2.6 → luck +0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.02 · Wk 2 W 0.90 · Wk 3 L 0.14 · Wk 4 W 0.98 · Wk 5 L 0.00 · Wk 6 W 0.60.−13.7133113th−0.0311742.0%83−0.22133+0.115213.4%55+0.046946.5%124−0.0348+0.1010111.0%5124.812459.0125
Wyoming123 ▼11
Sam HoustonConference USA1–4−12.0123——−0.5Won 1, earned 1.5 → luck −0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.33 · Wk 2 L 0.11 · Wk 3 W 1.00 · Wk 4 L 0.03 · Wk 6 L 0.00.−6.373121st−0.0211442.8%74+0.0681−0.1413410.0%117−0.043342.0%85−0.325+0.1812313.9%11131.62066.659
Sam Houston124 ▲5
Bowling GreenMid-American2–4−12.1124——−0.4Won 2, earned 2.4 → luck −0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.59 · Wk 2 L 0.00 · Wk 3 L 0.00 · Wk 4 L 0.14 · Wk 5 W 0.64 · Wk 6 W 1.00.−8.192119th−0.0512239.6%111+0.0871−0.1813510.2%116+0.079445.6%116−0.0933+0.2012612.4%8730.04656.7133
Bowling Green125 ▼2
Hawai'iMountain West1–5−12.2125——−1.1Won 1, earned 2.1 → luck −1.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.55 · Wk 2 W 0.97 · Wk 4 L 0.02 · Wk 5 L 0.54 · Wk 6 L 0.04.−7.586136th+0.0010039.3%115+0.0195−0.011039.9%120+0.1010046.4%122+0.1193+0.089413.7%10727.98470.822
Hawai'i126 ▼4
MarshallSun Belt3–3−12.3126——+0.5Won 3, earned 2.5 → luck +0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 0.45 · Wk 3 W 0.56 · Wk 4 W 0.77 · Wk 5 L 0.01 · Wk 6 L 0.67.−9.8107100th+0.125744.3%56+0.0776+0.182513.0%64+0.2012744.4%104+0.31133+0.088914.0%11325.911668.541
Marshall127 ▲4
Western KentuckyConference USA2–4−12.4127——−0.0Won 2, earned 2.0 → luck −0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.01 · Wk 2 L 0.00 · Wk 3 L 0.00 · Wk 4 W 1.00 · Wk 5 L 0.03 · Wk 6 W 0.97.−4.052112th−0.0612538.9%119−0.00100−0.1313010.7%113+0.089842.6%88+0.0269+0.1511014.3%11829.94771.019
Western Kentucky128 ▼20
Missouri StateConference USA1–4−12.5128——−0.5Won 1, earned 1.5 → luck −0.5. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 1.00 · Wk 3 L 0.44 · Wk 4 L 0.06 · Wk 6 L 0.02.−9.9108128th+0.106740.3%102+0.0873+0.13469.7%123+0.1210647.6%128+0.20110+0.068114.1%11525.612162.2103
Missouri State129 ▼2
Middle TennesseeConference USA2–3−13.7129——−0.1Won 2, earned 2.1 → luck −0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 0.68 · Wk 2 L 0.54 · Wk 3 W 0.71 · Wk 4 L 0.13 · Wk 5 L 0.00.−10.9119111th+0.029539.8%108+0.0489−0.0010210.8%111+0.1511648.0%129+0.0884+0.2112713.2%9726.610556.0134
Middle Tennessee130 ▼6
Central MichiganMid-American3–3−15.8130——+0.3Won 3, earned 2.7 → luck +0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 0.83 · Wk 3 W 0.86 · Wk 4 L 0.00 · Wk 5 W 0.99 · Wk 6 L 0.01.−7.28185th−0.0010540.2%103−0.44138+0.20228.4%133+0.089647.0%126−0.0641+0.2112912.1%8127.110157.0131
Central Michigan131 ▲2
Ball StateMid-American1–5−16.1131——−0.4Won 1, earned 1.4 → luck −0.4. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.02 · Wk 4 L 0.34 · Wk 5 L 0.03 · Wk 6 L 0.00.−3.040126th+0.019835.4%129+0.0874−0.071209.3%127+0.2013044.5%105+0.29128+0.1110315.7%13127.39662.5100
Ball State132 ▼2
Kent StateMid-American2–4−16.4132——−0.1Won 2, earned 2.1 → luck −0.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.00 · Wk 4 W 0.66 · Wk 5 L 0.42 · Wk 6 L 0.03.−4.356115th−0.0612434.7%131−0.05114−0.071178.3%136−0.014644.6%108−0.0059−0.025311.8%7729.84962.0108
Kent State133 ▲1
UTEPMountain West1–5−18.6133——−0.0Won 1, earned 1.0 → luck −0.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 W 0.93 · Wk 3 L 0.01 · Wk 4 L 0.02 · Wk 5 L 0.01 · Wk 6 L 0.04.−1.933124th−0.1913833.3%134−0.25135−0.1413310.0%118+0.1711950.4%134+0.30130+0.089213.6%10428.37853.7138
UTEP134 ▼2
Northern IllinoisMountain West0–5−18.9134——−0.9Won 0, earned 0.9 → luck −0.9. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 L 0.70 · Wk 3 L 0.01 · Wk 4 L 0.21 · Wk 6 L 0.02.−3.950133rd+0.019940.5%100−0.04112+0.077411.5%100+0.1812150.5%135+0.21112+0.1611913.7%10627.98660.4115
Northern Illinois135 ▲1
AkronMid-American1–5−19.8135——−0.3Won 1, earned 1.3 → luck −0.3. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.01 · Wk 2 W 0.99 · Wk 3 L 0.00 · Wk 4 L 0.01 · Wk 5 L 0.00 · Wk 6 L 0.24.−8.495134th−0.0311841.2%94−0.13123+0.086915.1%26+0.1411544.9%110+0.18108+0.1010014.2%11726.311263.392
Akron136 ▼1
Sacramento StateMid-American1–5−21.1136——−0.2Won 1, earned 1.2 → luck −0.2. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 W 1.15 · Wk 2 L 0.00 · Wk 3 L 0.03 · Wk 4 L 0.00 · Wk 6 L 0.01.−10.2113135th−0.1813739.9%105−0.25136−0.081228.0%137+0.046838.6%46+0.0783+0.016615.2%12428.67066.854
Sacramento State137
UL MonroeSun Belt0–5−21.2137——−1.1Won 0, earned 1.1 → luck −1.1. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.00 · Wk 2 L 0.05 · Wk 3 L 0.67 · Wk 4 L 0.04 · Wk 5 L 0.36.−9.5105137th+0.125643.5%65+0.0969+0.163312.6%73+0.2413451.5%137+0.42138+0.1010215.2%12530.34266.856
UL Monroe138
CharlotteAmerican Athletic0–6−22.3138——−1.0Won 0, earned 1.0 → luck −1.0. Each game's earned share (its win chance given how it was played): Wk 1 L 0.62 · Wk 2 L 0.03 · Wk 3 L 0.31 · Wk 4 L 0.00 · Wk 5 L 0.00 · Wk 6 L 0.01.−3.649138th−0.0512134.5%132−0.10121+0.039213.5%52+0.1912648.4%132+0.33135+0.078512.2%8526.610655.2136
Charlotte