Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
Abilene Christian
0–1 · unrated
10–33Final
AP #12Texas Tech
5–0 · Ours #6 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.TTU −44.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −33.8 · Abilene Christian covered by 21.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
John David Black
18/32 · 119 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.32
- Comp %
- 56.3
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 3
Will Hammond26/33 · 298 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.1149th pct
- Comp %
- 78.8
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Abilene Christian (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Abilene Christian0–1
Lat Texas Tech10–33covered +44.5
at Texas Tech10–33covered +44.5Texas Tech5–0 · 75th-hardest schedule
Wvs Abilene Christian33–10missed −44.5
W
at Oregon State35–24missed −25.5
at Oregon State35–24missed −25.5W
vs Houston28–26missed −7.5
vs Houston28–26missed −7.5W
vs Sam Houston49–14covered −34.5
vs Sam Houston49–14covered −34.5W
at Colorado29–7covered −13.5
at Colorado29–7covered −13.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 5:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is