Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
Nicholls
0–2 · unrated
3–71Final
Kansas State
3–2 · Ours #32 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.KSU −41.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −30.4 · KSU covered by 26.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Ean Rodrigue
7/19 · 30 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.60
- Comp %
- 36.8
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Avery Johnson15/21 · 199 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.7895th pct
- Comp %
- 71.4
- TD
- 3
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Nicholls (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Nicholls0–2
Lat Kansas State3–71missed +41.5
at Kansas State3–71missed +41.5L
at Sam Houston0–59missed +21
at Sam Houston0–59missed +21Kansas State3–2 · 74th-hardest schedule
Wvs Nicholls71–3covered −41.5
W
vs Washington State34–7covered −17.5
vs Washington State34–7covered −17.5W
vs Tulane31–20missed −20.5
vs Tulane31–20missed −20.5L
at Cincinnati26–31missed −6
at Cincinnati26–31missed −6L
vs Houston16–35missed −2.5
vs Houston16–35missed −2.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 5:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is