Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Kansas State

3–2 FBS · Big 12 · this season

Rating

+4.3

Rank

49

Résumé

77

Projected wins

6.8▲ 0.4 vs preseason

CFP odds

<1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5NichollsNichollsKSU −30.4KSU −41.5W 71–395

Sat, Sep 129/12Washington StateWSUKSU −10.6KSU −17.5W 34–774WSU · L

Sat, Sep 199/19TulaneTULNKSU −17.3KSU −19.5W 31–2066TULN · W

Sat, Sep 269/26at CincinnatiCINKSU −8.1KSU −7.0L 26–3144KSU · L

Sat, Oct 1010/10HoustonHOUKSU −1.4KSU −2.5L 16–3539HOU · W

Sat, Oct 1710/17KansasKUKSU +1.0KSU −5.0KU +4.5Lean · +0.6%

Sat, Oct 2410/24at Arizona StateASUKSU −3.6—wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31at ColoradoCOLOKSU −9.5—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7Oklahoma StateOKSTKSU −3.9—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at TCUTCUKSU PK—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21ArizonaARIZKSU +4.1—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at Iowa StateISUKSU −1.8—wk 13

Model on KSU games: 2–2 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–1 · as the dog 2–1 · home 0–0, away 2–2 · avg gap to the market +3.3 · closer than the market 2 of 4

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.