Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
Southeast Missouri State
0–1 · unrated
10–38Final
Iowa State
3–3 · Ours #39 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.ISU −30oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −30.5 · Southeast Missouri State covered by 2
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Braylen Ragland
17/22 · 142 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.41
- Comp %
- 77.3
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 6
Jaylen Raynor8/16 · 184 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.2160th pct
- Comp %
- 50.0
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
No 2026 stats for Southeast Missouri State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Southeast Missouri State0–1
Lat Iowa State10–38covered +30
at Iowa State10–38covered +30Iowa State3–3 · 17th-hardest schedule
Wvs Southeast Missouri State38–10missed −30
L
at Iowa13–16covered +14
at Iowa13–16covered +14W
vs Bowling Green55–7covered −23.5
vs Bowling Green55–7covered −23.5L
vs Utah17–31missed +7.5
vs Utah17–31missed +7.5W
vs West Virginia45–42push −3
vs West Virginia45–42push −3L
at BYU10–24missed +12
at BYU10–24missed +12Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 12:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is