Week 2 report · Sat, Sep 12 · 2026 Week 2FCS opponent · display only
Western Carolina
0–1 · unrated
10–62Final
Cincinnati
4–1 · Ours #48 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.CIN −36oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −32.1 · CIN covered by 16
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Lex Thomas
23/32 · 165 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.11
- Comp %
- 71.9
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
JC French IV20/23 · 241 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.5787th pct
- Comp %
- 87.0
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Western Carolina (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Western Carolina0–1
Lat Cincinnati10–62missed +36
at Cincinnati10–62missed +36Cincinnati4–1 · 63rd-hardest schedule
W
vs Boston College34–15covered −7
vs Boston College34–15covered −7Wvs Western Carolina62–10covered −36
W
vs Miami (OH)35–31missed −14.5
vs Miami (OH)35–31missed −14.5W
vs Kansas State31–26covered +6
vs Kansas State31–26covered +6L
at Arizona7–34missed +7
at Arizona7–34missed +7Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 12, 6:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is