Week 2 report · Sat, Sep 12 · 2026 Week 2FCS opponent · display only
Grambling
0–1 · unrated
7–63Final
TCU
2–3 · Ours #54 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.TCU −44.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −39 · TCU covered by 11.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
RJ Johnson III
14/20 · 190 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.38
- Comp %
- 70.0
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
Jaden Craig24/31 · 391 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.3271st pct
- Comp %
- 77.4
- TD
- 4
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
No 2026 stats for Grambling (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Grambling0–1
Lat TCU7–63missed +44.5
at TCU7–63missed +44.5TCU2–3 · 41st-hardest schedule
L
vs North Carolina10–15missed −7.5
vs North Carolina10–15missed −7.5Wvs Grambling63–7covered −44.5
W
vs Arkansas State31–7covered −19
vs Arkansas State31–7covered −19L
at UCF13–21missed −3.5
at UCF13–21missed −3.5L
vs BYU10–17missed +6
vs BYU10–17missed +6Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 12, 6:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is