Week 3 report · Sat, Sep 19 · 2026 Week 3FCS opponent · display only
Murray State
0–2 · unrated
0–59Final
Oklahoma State
4–1 · Ours #78 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.OKST −55.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −34.1 · OKST covered by 3.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Jim Ogle
13/21 · 79 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.30
- Comp %
- 61.9
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Drew Mestemaker20/22 · 324 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.8998th pct
- Comp %
- 90.9
- TD
- 5
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Relieved in Q3 by Broderick Vehrs
No 2026 stats for Murray State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Murray State0–2
L
at Middle Tennessee14–38missed +22.5
at Middle Tennessee14–38missed +22.5Lat Oklahoma State0–59missed +55.5
at Oklahoma State0–59missed +55.5Oklahoma State4–1 · 56th-hardest schedule
L
at Tulsa10–24missed −13
at Tulsa10–24missed −13W
vs Oregon39–31covered +24
vs Oregon39–31covered +24Wvs Murray State59–0covered −55.5
W
at West Virginia41–24covered +2
at West Virginia41–24covered +2W
vs UCF42–28covered −10
vs UCF42–28covered −10Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 19, 6:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is