Week 2 report · Fri, Sep 11 · 2026 Week 2FCS opponent · display only
Villanova
0–1 · unrated
13–59Final
AP #24Louisville
3–3 · Ours #27 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.LOU −38.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −33.5 · LOU covered by 7.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Pat McQuaide
18/31 · 166 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.09
- Comp %
- 58.1
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Lincoln Kienholz16/22 · 332 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.8496th pct
- Comp %
- 72.7
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Villanova (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Villanova0–1
Lat Louisville13–59missed +38.5
at Louisville13–59missed +38.5Louisville3–3 · 14th-hardest schedule
L
at Ole Miss38–41covered +6.5
at Ole Miss38–41covered +6.5Wvs Villanova59–13covered −38.5
W
vs SMU41–31covered −3
vs SMU41–31covered −3L
vs Wake Forest27–30missed −11.5
vs Wake Forest27–30missed −11.5L
at NC State28–31missed −5
at NC State28–31missed −5W
vs Florida State44–20covered −3.5
vs Florida State44–20covered −3.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 11, 6:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is