Week 2 report · Sat, Sep 12 · 2026 Week 2FCS opponent · display only
East Tennessee State
0–1 · unrated
3–35Final
North Carolina
3–2 · Ours #60 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.UNC −35.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −31.8 · East Tennessee State covered by 3.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Mason Mims
23/31 · 178 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.06
- Comp %
- 74.2
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 4
Billy Edwards Jr.15/20 · 244 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.5887th pct
- Comp %
- 75.0
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Relieved in Q3 by Miles O'Neill
No 2026 stats for East Tennessee State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
East Tennessee State0–1
Lat North Carolina3–35covered +35.5
at North Carolina3–35covered +35.5North Carolina3–2 · 6th-hardest schedule
W
at TCU15–10covered +7.5
at TCU15–10covered +7.5Wvs East Tennessee State35–3missed −35.5
L
at Clemson20–28missed +3
at Clemson20–28missed +3L
vs Notre Dame26–37covered +21
vs Notre Dame26–37covered +21W
at Pittsburgh21–17covered +3.5
at Pittsburgh21–17covered +3.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 12, 10:05 AM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is