Week 2 report · Fri, Sep 11 · 2026 Week 2FCS opponent · display only
Norfolk State
0–2 · unrated
3–59Final
AP #25Virginia
4–2 · Ours #26 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.UVA −46.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −42.3 · UVA covered by 9.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Deljay Bailey
15/25 · 142 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.31
- Comp %
- 60.0
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 22 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
Beau Pribula12/14 · 162 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.2765th pct
- Comp %
- 85.7
- TD
- 3
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Relieved in Q3 by Eli Holstein
No 2026 stats for Norfolk State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Norfolk State0–2
L
at Old Dominion10–31covered +41
at Old Dominion10–31covered +41Lat Virginia3–59missed +46.5
at Virginia3–59missed +46.5Virginia4–2 · 90th-hardest schedule
W
vs NC State34–8covered −4
vs NC State34–8covered −4Wvs Norfolk State59–3covered −46.5
L
vs West Virginia27–38missed −10.5
vs West Virginia27–38missed −10.5W
vs Delaware42–3covered −20
vs Delaware42–3covered −20L
at Florida State7–38missed −1
at Florida State7–38missed −1W
vs Syracuse28–25missed −14
vs Syracuse28–25missed −14Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 11, 6:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is