Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Virginia

4–2 FBS · ACC · this season

Rating

+3.1

Rank

56

Résumé

64

Projected wins

6.8▼ 0.1 vs preseason

CFP odds

1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Aug 298/29NC StateNCSUUVA PKUVA −5.5W 34–871NCSU · L

Fri, Sep 119/11Norfolk StateNorfolk StateUVA −42.3UVA −46.5W 59–387

Sat, Sep 199/19West VirginiaWVUUVA −15.7UVA −9.5L 27–3839UVA · L

Sat, Sep 269/26DelawareDELUVA −16.7UVA −22.0W 42–386DEL · L

Sat, Oct 310/3at Florida StateFSUUVA −2.4UVA −2.5L 7–3818FSU · W

Sat, Oct 1010/10SyracuseSYRUVA −11.0UVA −8.5W 28–2548UVA · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17at SMUSMUUVA +5.9UVA +9.0UVA +9.5Pass

Fri, Oct 2310/23DukeDUKEUVA PK—wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31at Wake ForestWAKEUVA +11.7—wk 9

Sat, Nov 1411/14CaliforniaCALUVA −11.8—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21North CarolinaUNCUVA −1.5—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at Virginia TechVTUVA +4.9—wk 13

Model on UVA games: 1–4 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–2 · as the dog 1–2 · home 1–2, away 0–2 · avg gap to the market +3.4 · closer than the market 1 of 5

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.