Week 2 report · Sat, Sep 12 · 2026 Week 2FCS opponent · display only
UC Davis
0–1 · unrated
10–56Final
AP #17SMU
4–1 · Ours #20 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.SMU −32oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −34.3 · SMU covered by 14
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Treynor Cleeland
11/27 · 83 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.27
- Comp %
- 40.7
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Kevin Jennings14/16 · 337 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +1.62100th pct
- Comp %
- 87.5
- TD
- 5
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Relieved in Q3 by Ty Hawkins
No 2026 stats for UC Davis (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
UC Davis0–1
Lat SMU10–56missed +32
at SMU10–56missed +32SMU4–1 · 83rd-hardest schedule
W
at Florida State27–24push −3
at Florida State27–24push −3Wvs UC Davis56–10covered −32
L
at Louisville31–41missed +3
at Louisville31–41missed +3W
vs Missouri State34–24missed −30.5
vs Missouri State34–24missed −30.5W
vs Boston College25–16missed −21.5
vs Boston College25–16missed −21.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 12, 3:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is