Week 3 report · Sat, Sep 19 · 2026 Week 3FCS opponent · display only
Wagner
0–2 · unrated
7–49Final
California
3–3 · Ours #96 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.CAL −58.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −34 · Wagner covered by 16.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Benjamin Newman
15/31 · 86 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.24
- Comp %
- 48.4
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele27/33 · 413 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.5888th pct
- Comp %
- 81.8
- TD
- 3
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Relieved in Q3 by Jackson Brousseau
No 2026 stats for Wagner (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Wagner0–2
L
at James Madison3–87missed +46
at James Madison3–87missed +46Lat California7–49covered +58.5
at California7–49covered +58.5California3–3 · 34th-hardest schedule
L
vs UCLA24–45missed +2.5
vs UCLA24–45missed +2.5W
at Syracuse21–18covered +3.5
at Syracuse21–18covered +3.5Wvs Wagner49–7missed −58.5
L
vs Clemson10–24missed +2.5
vs Clemson10–24missed +2.5L
at UNLV31–39missed +1QB change mid-game
at UNLV31–39missed +1QB change mid-gameW
vs Virginia Tech25–20covered +10
vs Virginia Tech25–20covered +10Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 19, 3:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is