Week 4 report · Sat, Sep 26 · 2026 Week 4FCS opponent · display only
Bucknell
0–1 · unrated
0–59Final
Pittsburgh
5–1 · Ours #33 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.PITT −54.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −44 · PITT covered by 4.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Emmett Dowling
10/21 · 49 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.59
- Comp %
- 47.6
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Relieved in Q2 by 5147067
Mason Heintschel28/36 · 396 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.7594th pct
- Comp %
- 77.8
- TD
- 6
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Bucknell (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Bucknell0–1
Lat Pittsburgh0–59missed +54.5
at Pittsburgh0–59missed +54.5Pittsburgh5–1 · 61st-hardest schedule
W
vs Miami (OH)59–14covered −16.5
vs Miami (OH)59–14covered −16.5W
vs UCF12–7missed −7
vs UCF12–7missed −7W
vs Syracuse27–13covered −10.5
vs Syracuse27–13covered −10.5Wvs Bucknell59–0covered −54.5
W
at Virginia Tech35–33covered +2
at Virginia Tech35–33covered +2L
vs North Carolina17–21missed −3.5
vs North Carolina17–21missed −3.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.6 · run Sep 26, 10:05 AM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is