Week 4 report · Sat, Sep 26 · 2026 Week 4FCS opponent · display only
William & Mary
0–1 · unrated
7–62Final
Duke
4–1 · Ours #30 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.DUKE −43.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −37.2 · DUKE covered by 11.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Winston Watkins
10/17 · 137 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.29
- Comp %
- 58.8
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
Relieved in Q4 by 5301114
Walker Eget16/22 · 182 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.5184th pct
- Comp %
- 72.7
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Relieved in Q2 by Dan Mahan
No 2026 stats for William & Mary (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
William & Mary0–1
Lat Duke7–62missed +43.5
at Duke7–62missed +43.5Duke4–1 · 102nd-hardest schedule
W
vs Tulane17–3covered −9
vs Tulane17–3covered −9W
at Illinois31–27covered +6.5
at Illinois31–27covered +6.5W
vs Stanford35–7covered −10
vs Stanford35–7covered −10Wvs William & Mary62–7covered −43.5
L
at Georgia Tech25–28missed −4.5
at Georgia Tech25–28missed −4.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.6 · run Sep 26, 2:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is