Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Duke

4–1 FBS · ACC · this season

Rating

+6.6

Rank

38

Résumé

42

Projected wins

7.4▲ 1.9 vs preseason

CFP odds

2%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5TulaneTULNDUKE −3.1DUKE −9.5W 17–359TULN · L

Sat, Sep 129/12at IllinoisILLDUKE +4.7DUKE +6.5W 31–2760DUKE · W

Sat, Sep 199/19StanfordSTANDUKE −11.1DUKE −9.5W 35–775DUKE · W

Sat, Sep 269/26William & MaryWilliam & MaryDUKE −37.2DUKE −43.5W 62–774

Sat, Oct 1010/10at Georgia TechGTDUKE −3.7DUKE −7.0L 25–2851GT · W

Sat, Oct 1710/17North CarolinaUNCDUKE −3.5DUKE −3.0DUKE −3.0Pass

Fri, Oct 2310/23at VirginiaUVADUKE PK—wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31Boston CollegeBCDUKE −14.5—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7at NC StateNCSUDUKE −2.2—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at MiamiMIADUKE +21.5DUKE +21.0wk 11

Fri, Nov 2011/20ClemsonCLEMDUKE −5.6—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at Wake ForestWAKEDUKE +9.2—wk 13

Model on DUKE games: 3–1 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 1–0 · as the dog 2–1 · home 2–0, away 1–1 · avg gap to the market +2.4 · closer than the market 3 of 4

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.