Week 3 report · Sat, Sep 19 · 2026 Week 3FCS opponent · display only
Southern Illinois
0–1 · unrated
10–48Final
Illinois
3–3 · Ours #60 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.ILL −35.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −34.3 · ILL covered by 2.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
DJ Williams
20/37 · 182 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.05
- Comp %
- 54.1
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Katin Houser23/29 · 305 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.2967th pct
- Comp %
- 79.3
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
No 2026 stats for Southern Illinois (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Southern Illinois0–1
Lat Illinois10–48missed +35.5
at Illinois10–48missed +35.5Illinois3–3 · 38th-hardest schedule
W
vs UAB42–23missed −25.5
vs UAB42–23missed −25.5L
vs Duke27–31missed −6.5
vs Duke27–31missed −6.5Wvs Southern Illinois48–10covered −35.5
L
at Ohio State19–42covered +26
at Ohio State19–42covered +26L
vs Purdue17–24missed −9.5
vs Purdue17–24missed −9.5W
at Michigan State38–37missed −2.5
at Michigan State38–37missed −2.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 19, 12:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is