Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Illinois

3–3 FBS · Big Ten · this season

Rating

+0.4

Rank

61

Résumé

81

Projected wins

5.2▼ 0.6 vs preseason

CFP odds

<1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Thu, Sep 39/3UABUABILL −12.7ILL −28.5W 42–2358UAB · W

Sat, Sep 129/12DukeDUKEILL −4.7ILL −6.5L 27–3140DUKE · W

Sat, Sep 199/19Southern IllinoisSouthern IllinoisILL −34.3ILL −35.5W 48–1078

Sat, Sep 269/26at Ohio StateOSUILL +27.7ILL +27.0L 19–4242OSU · L

Sat, Oct 310/3PurduePURILL −16.8ILL −10.0L 17–2446ILL · L

Sat, Oct 1010/10at Michigan StateMSUILL −2.3ILL −3.5W 38–3734MSU · W

Sat, Oct 2410/24OregonOREILL +7.4—wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31at MarylandMDILL −5.0—wk 9

Fri, Nov 611/6NebraskaNEBILL +5.8—wk 10

Fri, Nov 1311/13at UCLAUCLAILL +11.0—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21IowaIOWAILL +6.4—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at NorthwesternNUILL +6.4ILL −3.5wk 13

Model on ILL games: 3–2 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–2 · as the dog 3–0 · home 1–2, away 2–0 · avg gap to the market +4.8 · closer than the market 3 of 5

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.