Week 3 report · Fri, Sep 18 · 2026 Week 3FCS opponent · display only
Portland State
0–2 · unrated
0–84Final
AP #21Oregon
3–2 · Ours #20 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.ORE −58.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −40 · ORE covered by 25.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Gabe Downing
8/20 · 101 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.31
- Comp %
- 40.0
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 33 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Dante Moore19/23 · 280 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.7594th pct
- Comp %
- 82.6
- TD
- 4
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Relieved in Q3 by Dylan Raiola
No 2026 stats for Portland State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Portland State0–2
L
at San Diego State20–53covered +38.5
at San Diego State20–53covered +38.5Lat Oregon0–84missed +58.5
at Oregon0–84missed +58.5Oregon3–2 · 9th-hardest schedule
W
vs Boise State34–27missed −25
vs Boise State34–27missed −25L
at Oklahoma State31–39missed −24
at Oklahoma State31–39missed −24Wvs Portland State84–0covered −58.5
W
at USC41–27covered −3.5QB change mid-game
at USC41–27covered −3.5QB change mid-gameL
vs UCLA15–17missed −10.5
vs UCLA15–17missed −10.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 18, 10:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is