Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Oregon

3–2 FBS · Big Ten · this season

Rating

+11.4

Rank

18

Résumé

37

Projected wins

7.4▼ 1.0 vs preseason

CFP odds

5%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5Boise StateBOISORE −26.5ORE −24.5W 34–2770ORE · L

Sat, Sep 129/12at Oklahoma StateOKSTORE −31.6ORE −22.5L 31–3948ORE · L

Fri, Sep 189/18Portland StatePortland StateORE −40.0ORE −58.5W 84–097

Sat, Sep 269/26at USCUSCORE PKORE −1.0W 41–2760USC · L

Sat, Oct 1010/10UCLAUCLAORE −7.9ORE −12.0L 15–1747UCLA · W

Sat, Oct 1710/17NebraskaNEBORE −4.3ORE −7.5NEB +7.5Pass

Sat, Oct 2410/24at IllinoisILLORE −7.4—wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31NorthwesternNUORE −8.1—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7at Ohio StateOSUORE +15.8ORE +6.0wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14MichiganMICHORE −6.2ORE −13.5wk 11

Fri, Nov 2011/20at Michigan StateMSUORE −13.8—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28WashingtonWASHORE −14.7ORE −15.5wk 13

Model on ORE games: 1–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–2 · as the dog 1–1 · home 0–2, away 1–1 · avg gap to the market +3.7 · closer than the market 1 of 4

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.