Week 3 report · Sat, Sep 19 · 2026 Week 3FCS opponent · display only
Northern Iowa
0–1 · unrated
0–55Final
AP #18Iowa
5–1 · Ours #21 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.IOWA −37.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −40.5 · IOWA covered by 17.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Jaxon Dailey
11/27 · 91 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.38
- Comp %
- 40.7
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 22 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
Hank Brown12/12 · 153 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.8496th pct
- Comp %
- 100.0
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Relieved in Q2 by Jeremy Hecklinski
No 2026 stats for Northern Iowa (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Northern Iowa0–1
Lat Iowa0–55missed +37.5
at Iowa0–55missed +37.5Iowa5–1 · 37th-hardest schedule
W
vs Northern Illinois40–0covered −31
vs Northern Illinois40–0covered −31W
vs Iowa State16–13missed −14
vs Iowa State16–13missed −14Wvs Northern Iowa55–0covered −37.5
W
at Michigan20–19covered +5.5
at Michigan20–19covered +5.5L
vs Ohio State14–31missed +14.5
vs Ohio State14–31missed +14.5W
at Washington41–24covered +3
at Washington41–24covered +3Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 19, 3:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is