Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
Portland State
0–2 · unrated
20–53Final
San Diego State
2–4 · Ours #62 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.SDSU −38.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −31.5 · Portland State covered by 5.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Gabe Downing
31/51 · 280 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.03
- Comp %
- 60.8
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Jayden Denegal12/17 · 137 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.3975th pct
- Comp %
- 70.6
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Portland State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Portland State0–2
Lat San Diego State20–53covered +38.5
at San Diego State20–53covered +38.5L
at Oregon0–84missed +58.5
at Oregon0–84missed +58.5San Diego State2–4 · 31st-hardest schedule
Wvs Portland State53–20missed −38.5
L
at UCLA10–28missed +13.5
at UCLA10–28missed +13.5L
vs James Madison13–26missed −1.5
vs James Madison13–26missed −1.5L
at Toledo16–41missed +2.5
at Toledo16–41missed +2.5W
vs Texas State31–29covered +10
vs Texas State31–29covered +10L
at Oregon State14–66missed +14.5
at Oregon State14–66missed +14.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 8:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is