Week 3 report · Sat, Sep 19 · 2026 Week 3FCS opponent · display only
South Dakota
0–1 · unrated
24–38Final
Boise State
5–1 · Ours #30 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.BOIS −27.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −40.8 · South Dakota covered by 13.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Austyn Modrzewski
12/27 · 243 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.13
- Comp %
- 44.4
- TD
- 3
- Turnovers
- 22 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
Maddux Madsen22/31 · 208 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.2059th pct
- Comp %
- 71.0
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
No 2026 stats for South Dakota (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
South Dakota0–1
Lat Boise State24–38covered +27.5
at Boise State24–38covered +27.5Boise State5–1 · 52nd-hardest schedule
L
at Oregon27–34covered +25
at Oregon27–34covered +25W
vs Memphis38–20covered −9
vs Memphis38–20covered −9Wvs South Dakota38–24missed −27.5
W
at Western Michigan32–7covered −8.5
at Western Michigan32–7covered −8.5W
vs Utah State37–18missed −19.5
vs Utah State37–18missed −19.5W
at Fresno State38–31missed −9.5
at Fresno State38–31missed −9.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 19, 9:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is