Week 3 report · Sat, Sep 19 · 2026 Week 3FCS opponent · display only
Montana
0–1 · unrated
17–52Final
Oregon State
4–2 · Ours #105 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.ORST −17.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −28.6 · ORST covered by 17.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Luke Flowers
3/5 · 27 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.41
- Comp %
- 60.0
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Braden Atkinson22/30 · 333 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.7494th pct
- Comp %
- 73.3
- TD
- 6
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Montana (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Montana0–1
Lat Oregon State17–52missed +17.5
at Oregon State17–52missed +17.5Oregon State4–2 · 105th-hardest schedule
L
at Houston20–33covered +21
at Houston20–33covered +21L
vs Texas Tech24–35covered +25.5
vs Texas Tech24–35covered +25.5Wvs Montana52–17covered −17.5
W
at UTEP33–7covered −11
at UTEP33–7covered −11W
at Colorado State56–26covered −7
at Colorado State56–26covered −7W
vs San Diego State66–14covered −14.5
vs San Diego State66–14covered −14.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 19, 9:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is