Week 4 report · Sat, Sep 26 · 2026 Week 4FCS opponent · display only
Incarnate Word
0–1 · unrated
10–63Final
Texas State
2–3 · Ours #72 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.TXST −30.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −36.8 · TXST covered by 22.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Emmett Brown
24/44 · 242 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.08
- Comp %
- 54.5
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 3
Brad Jackson17/20 · 244 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +1.1199th pct
- Comp %
- 85.0
- TD
- 5
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Incarnate Word (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Incarnate Word0–1
Lat Texas State10–63missed +30.5
at Texas State10–63missed +30.5Texas State2–3 · 42nd-hardest schedule
L
at Texas7–59missed +29.5
at Texas7–59missed +29.5L
vs UTSA26–31missed −2.5
vs UTSA26–31missed −2.5W
vs North Texas49–35covered −3
vs North Texas49–35covered −3Wvs Incarnate Word63–10covered −30.5
L
at San Diego State29–31missed −10
at San Diego State29–31missed −10Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.6 · run Sep 26, 4:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is