Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Texas State

2–3 FBS · Pac-12 · this season

Rating

−0.6

Rank

71

Résumé

98

Projected wins

5.7▼ 0.1 vs preseason

CFP odds

<1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5at TexasTEXTXST +21.3TXST +30.5L 7–5929TXST · L

Sat, Sep 129/12UTSAUTSATXST +1.6TXST +1.0L 26–3151TXST · L

Sat, Sep 199/19North TexasUNTTXST +4.7TXST −3.0W 49–3552UNT · L

Sat, Sep 269/26Incarnate WordIncarnate WordTXST −36.8TXST −30.5W 63–1074

Sat, Oct 310/3at San Diego StateSDSUTXST −4.0TXST −4.5L 29–3158SDSU · W

Thu, Oct 1510/15Colorado StateCSUTXST −19.2TXST −14.0TXST −14.5Pass

Sat, Oct 2410/24Utah StateUSUTXST −14.2—wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31at Boise StateBOISTXST +6.5—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7at Oregon StateORSTTXST +5.8—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14Fresno StateFRESTXST −4.4—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21Washington StateWSUTXST −11.6—wk 12

Model on TXST games: 1–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–0 · as the dog 1–3 · home 1–1, away 0–2 · avg gap to the market +6.5 · closer than the market 2 of 4

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.