Week 3 report · Sat, Sep 19 · 2026 Week 3FCS opponent · display only
UT Martin
0–2 · unrated
21–45Final
Memphis
5–1 · Ours #55 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.MEM −33.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −37 · UT Martin covered by 9.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Tate Surber
17/29 · 177 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.22
- Comp %
- 58.6
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Marcus Stokes26/32 · 258 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.5686th pct
- Comp %
- 81.3
- TD
- 4
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
No 2026 stats for UT Martin (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
UT Martin0–2
L
at West Virginia7–52missed +41.5
at West Virginia7–52missed +41.5Lat Memphis21–45covered +33.5
at Memphis21–45covered +33.5Memphis5–1 · 124th-hardest schedule
W
at UNLV27–21covered +5
at UNLV27–21covered +5W
vs Arkansas State42–24covered −11
vs Arkansas State42–24covered −11L
at Boise State20–38missed +9
at Boise State20–38missed +9Wvs UT Martin45–21missed −33.5
W
at Charlotte59–8covered −20.5
at Charlotte59–8covered −20.5W
vs UAB38–13covered −14.5
vs UAB38–13covered −14.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 19, 6:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is