Week 5 report · Sat, Oct 3 · 2026 Week 5FCS opponent · display only
Samford
0–1 · unrated
14–33Final
UAB
3–3 · Ours #123 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.UAB −31oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −25.1 · Samford covered by 12
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Gabarri Johnson
17/29 · 140 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.21
- Comp %
- 58.6
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 33 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
Ryder Burton8/18 · 139 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.0237th pct
- Comp %
- 44.4
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
No 2026 stats for Samford (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Samford0–1
Lat UAB14–33covered +31
at UAB14–33covered +31UAB3–3 · 112th-hardest schedule
L
at Illinois23–42covered +25.5
at Illinois23–42covered +25.5W
vs UL Monroe26–20missed −9.5
vs UL Monroe26–20missed −9.5L
at Louisiana14–21push +7
at Louisiana14–21push +7W
vs Navy24–20covered +6.5
vs Navy24–20covered +6.5Wvs Samford33–14missed −31
L
at Memphis13–38missed +14.5
at Memphis13–38missed +14.5Model cfb_scratch · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Oct 3, 7:15 AM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is