Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
Duquesne
0–2 · unrated
0–34Final

Air Force
4–1 · Ours #130 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.AF −31.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −25.8 · AF covered by 2.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game

Carson Camp
7/18 · 42 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.60
- Comp %
- 38.9
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 22 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1

Liam Szarka3/5 · 19 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.71
- Comp %
- 60.0
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Relieved in Q2 by Evan Medders
No 2026 stats for Duquesne (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Duquesne0–2
L
at Air Force0–34missed +31.5
at Air Force0–34missed +31.5L
at Washington State7–48missed +38.5
at Washington State7–48missed +38.5
Air Force4–1 · 126th-hardest schedule
Wvs Duquesne34–0covered −31.5
L
vs North Dakota State32–38missed +2
vs North Dakota State32–38missed +2W
at Nevada36–33missed −5.5
at Nevada36–33missed −5.5W
vs Navy14–9covered −3
vs Navy14–9covered −3W
at Northern Illinois28–7covered −7
at Northern Illinois28–7covered −7Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 12:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is