Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.NDSU −41.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −28.9 · Fordham covered by 3.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Gunnar Smith
12/22 · 116 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.44
- Comp %
- 54.5
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 33 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 3
Nathan Hayes18/22 · 210 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.4177th pct
- Comp %
- 81.8
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
No 2026 stats for Fordham (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Fordham0–2
Lat North Dakota State0–38covered +41.5
at North Dakota State0–38covered +41.5L
at Coastal Carolina7–45missed +36
at Coastal Carolina7–45missed +36North Dakota State5–1 · 130th-hardest schedule
W
vs Jacksonville State33–7covered −6.5
vs Jacksonville State33–7covered −6.5Wvs Fordham38–0missed −41.5
W
at Air Force38–32covered −2
at Air Force38–32covered −2W
at Sacramento State31–10missed −25
at Sacramento State31–10missed −25W
vs Wyoming28–0covered −17
vs Wyoming28–0covered −17L
at UNLV7–13missed −2.5
at UNLV7–13missed −2.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 3:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is