Week 2 report · Sat, Sep 12 · 2026 Week 2FCS opponent · display only
Montana State
1–0 · unrated
20–7Final
Nevada
2–3 · Ours #74 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.Montana State −4.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. +29.7 · Montana State covered by 8.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Justin Lamson
15/23 · 179 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.06
- Comp %
- 65.2
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 3
AJ Bianco12/20 · 116 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.0633rd pct
- Comp %
- 60.0
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Replaced Luke Duncan in Q3
No 2026 stats for Montana State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Montana State1–0
Wat Nevada20–7covered −4.5
at Nevada20–7covered −4.5Nevada2–3 · 138th-hardest schedule
W
vs Western Kentucky49–14covered PK
vs Western Kentucky49–14covered PKLvs Montana State7–20missed +4.5QB change mid-game
L
at Middle Tennessee20–27missed −3.5
at Middle Tennessee20–27missed −3.5L
vs Air Force33–36covered +5.5
vs Air Force33–36covered +5.5W
at UTEP30–13covered −10
at UTEP30–13covered −10Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 12, 9:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is