Week 2 report · Sat, Sep 12 · 2026 Week 2FCS opponent · display only
Illinois State
1–0 · unrated
28–24Final
Northern Illinois
0–5 · Ours #135 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.Illinois State −2.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. +30.4 · Illinois State covered by 1.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Gage Roy
20/23 · 146 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.20
- Comp %
- 87.0
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 3
Taron Dickens22/27 · 193 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.0544th pct
- Comp %
- 81.5
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
No 2026 stats for Illinois State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Illinois State1–0
Wat Northern Illinois28–24covered −2.5
at Northern Illinois28–24covered −2.5Northern Illinois0–5 · 30th-hardest schedule
L
at Iowa0–40missed +31QB change mid-game
at Iowa0–40missed +31QB change mid-gameLvs Illinois State24–28missed +2.5QB change mid-game
L
at Arizona17–42covered +34.5
at Arizona17–42covered +34.5L
at Georgia State14–35missed +10
at Georgia State14–35missed +10L
vs Air Force7–28missed +7
vs Air Force7–28missed +7Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 12, 6:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is