Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
Tarleton State
1–0 · unrated
20–13Final
Bowling Green
2–4 · Ours #119 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.BGSU −2oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −25.1 · Tarleton State covered by 9
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Kaden Anderson
16/24 · 206 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.20
- Comp %
- 66.7
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Jay Kastantin24/30 · 278 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.5787th pct
- Comp %
- 80.0
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Tarleton State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Tarleton State1–0
Wat Bowling Green20–13covered +2
at Bowling Green20–13covered +2Bowling Green2–4 · 92nd-hardest schedule
Lvs Tarleton State13–20missed −2
L
at Nebraska7–56missed +30.5
at Nebraska7–56missed +30.5L
at Iowa State7–55missed +23.5
at Iowa State7–55missed +23.5L
vs South Florida6–14covered +18.5
vs South Florida6–14covered +18.5W
at Miami (OH)24–20covered +10.5
at Miami (OH)24–20covered +10.5W
vs Sacramento State38–10covered −9
vs Sacramento State38–10covered −9Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 10:05 AM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is