Week 2 report · Sat, Sep 12 · 2026 Week 2FCS opponent · display only
Central Connecticut
0–1 · unrated
10–63Final
Toledo
4–2 · Ours #76 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.TOL −36oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −37.8 · TOL covered by 17
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Brett Griffis
5/18 · 26 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.72
- Comp %
- 27.8
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Relieved in Q2 by 5105336
John Alan Richter15/25 · 252 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.3272nd pct
- Comp %
- 60.0
- TD
- 3
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Central Connecticut (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Central Connecticut0–1
Lat Toledo10–63missed +36
at Toledo10–63missed +36Toledo4–2 · 129th-hardest schedule
L
at Michigan State20–30push +10
at Michigan State20–30push +10Wvs Central Connecticut63–10covered −36
W
vs Temple49–48missed −5
vs Temple49–48missed −5W
vs San Diego State41–16covered −2.5
vs San Diego State41–16covered −2.5W
at Ball State39–24missed −21
at Ball State39–24missed −21L
vs Buffalo8–23missed −18.5
vs Buffalo8–23missed −18.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 12, 3:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is