Week 4 report · Sat, Sep 26 · 2026 Week 4FCS opponent · display only
Robert Morris
0–2 · unrated
28–31Final
Buffalo
3–3 · Ours #125 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.BUF −28oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −26.1 · Robert Morris covered by 25
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Carson Haggard
13/31 · 163 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.17
- Comp %
- 41.9
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Jason Wright15/28 · 140 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.0930th pct
- Comp %
- 53.6
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 22 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Robert Morris (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Robert Morris0–2
L
at Akron10–45missed +26.5
at Akron10–45missed +26.5Lat Buffalo28–31covered +28
at Buffalo28–31covered +28Buffalo3–3 · 81st-hardest schedule
Wvs UAlbany21–17missed −18.5
L
at Florida International20–33missed +10QB change mid-game
at Florida International20–33missed +10QB change mid-gameL
at Penn State13–55missed +40
at Penn State13–55missed +40Wvs Robert Morris31–28missed −28
L
vs Western Michigan17–20covered +12.5
vs Western Michigan17–20covered +12.5W
at Toledo23–8covered +18.5
at Toledo23–8covered +18.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.6 · run Sep 26, 2:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is