Week 4 report · Sat, Sep 26 · 2026 Week 4FCS opponent · display only
Gardner-Webb
0–2 · unrated
35–36Final
Marshall
3–3 · Ours #114 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.MRSH −24.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −32.4 · Gardner-Webb covered by 23.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Cole Pennington
23/34 · 294 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.32
- Comp %
- 67.6
- TD
- 4
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 2
Khalil Wilkins1/1 · 27 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +2.98
- Comp %
- 100.0
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Gardner-Webb (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Gardner-Webb0–2
L
at Liberty23–24covered +28.5
at Liberty23–24covered +28.5Lat Marshall35–36covered +24.5
at Marshall35–36covered +24.5Marshall3–3 · 110th-hardest schedule
L
at Penn State0–45missed +23.5
at Penn State0–45missed +23.5W
vs Middle Tennessee28–26missed −13
vs Middle Tennessee28–26missed −13W
at Missouri State30–24covered −4
at Missouri State30–24covered −4Wvs Gardner-Webb36–35missed −24.5
L
at James Madison17–45missed +15.5
at James Madison17–45missed +15.5L
vs Coastal Carolina21–27missed −4.5
vs Coastal Carolina21–27missed −4.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.6 · run Sep 26, 2:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is