Week 3 report · Sat, Sep 19 · 2026 Week 3FCS opponent · display only
SE Louisiana
1–1 · unrated
38–35Final
UL Monroe
0–5 · Ours #136 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.ULM −9.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −24.9 · SE Louisiana covered by 12.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Kyle Lowe
18/24 · 155 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.34
- Comp %
- 75.0
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Austin Carlisle19/24 · 183 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.3510th pct
- Comp %
- 79.2
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 22 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 3
Relieved in Q3 by Aidan Armenta
No 2026 stats for SE Louisiana (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
SE Louisiana1–1
L
at South Alabama14–39missed +13.5
at South Alabama14–39missed +13.5Wat UL Monroe38–35covered +9.5
at UL Monroe38–35covered +9.5UL Monroe0–5 · 93rd-hardest schedule
L
at Mississippi State13–62missed +28.5
at Mississippi State13–62missed +28.5L
at UAB20–26covered +9.5
at UAB20–26covered +9.5Lvs SE Louisiana35–38missed −9.5
L
vs Florida Atlantic17–45missed +11.5
vs Florida Atlantic17–45missed +11.5Lat South Alabama35–52missed +13.5
at South Alabama35–52missed +13.5Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 19, 3:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is