Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
Alcorn State
0–1 · unrated
3–49Final
Southern Miss
1–4 · Ours #110 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.USM −19.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −27.6 · USM covered by 26.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Jaylon Tolbert
15/22 · 119 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.12
- Comp %
- 68.2
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 44 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Ethan Hampton13/23 · 180 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.0443rd pct
- Comp %
- 56.5
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Alcorn State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Alcorn State0–1
Lat Southern Miss3–49missed +19.5
at Southern Miss3–49missed +19.5Southern Miss1–4 · 69th-hardest schedule
Wvs Alcorn State49–3covered −19.5
L
at Auburn8–43missed +32.5
at Auburn8–43missed +32.5L
vs UConn20–48missed +3QB change mid-game
vs UConn20–48missed +3QB change mid-gameL
at Tulane21–24covered +18.5
at Tulane21–24covered +18.5L
at Troy34–55missed +10
at Troy34–55missed +10Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 3:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is