Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
Lamar
0–1 · unrated
7–38Final
Louisiana
4–2 · Ours #103 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.UL −20.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −25.7 · UL covered by 10.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Aiden McCown
15/26 · 126 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.18
- Comp %
- 57.7
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 33 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Lunch Winfield16/22 · 189 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- −0.2418th pct
- Comp %
- 72.7
- TD
- 0
- Turnovers
- 22 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
Relieved in Q4 by Daniel Beale
No 2026 stats for Lamar (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Lamar0–1
Lat Louisiana7–38missed +20.5
at Louisiana7–38missed +20.5Louisiana4–2 · 127th-hardest schedule
Wvs Lamar38–7covered −20.5
L
at USC30–49covered +31
at USC30–49covered +31W
vs UAB21–14push −7
vs UAB21–14push −7W
at Charlotte34–7covered −9.5
at Charlotte34–7covered −9.5W
vs Arkansas State23–20missed −5
vs Arkansas State23–20missed −5L
at Louisiana Tech31–32covered +3
at Louisiana Tech31–32covered +3Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 5:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is