Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
Mercyhurst
0–3 · unrated
14–51Final
New Mexico State
2–4 · Ours #126 enteringOur rank going into this game, from the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.NMSU −29oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −26.9 · NMSU covered by 8
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Alex Gevaudan
13/20 · 147 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.36
- Comp %
- 65.0
- TD
- 1
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
Relieved in Q3 by 5304132
Trey Hedden11/20 · 253 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.4580th pct
- Comp %
- 55.0
- TD
- 2
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 1
No 2026 stats for Mercyhurst (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Mercyhurst0–3
Lat New Mexico State14–51missed +29
at New Mexico State14–51missed +29L
at New Mexico7–70missed +42.5
at New Mexico7–70missed +42.5L
at Western Kentucky7–52missed +40
at Western Kentucky7–52missed +40New Mexico State2–4 · 98th-hardest schedule
L
at Florida State17–34covered +31
at Florida State17–34covered +31Wvs Mercyhurst51–14covered −29
L
at Hawai'i19–29missed +7.5
at Hawai'i19–29missed +7.5Lvs New Mexico18–42missed +11.5
vs New Mexico18–42missed +11.5Wvs Western Kentucky34–13covered −2
vs Western Kentucky34–13covered −2L
at Florida International3–22missed +7
at Florida International3–22missed +7Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 8:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is