Board · Sat, Aug 29 · 5:30 PM ET · Week 0

Jacksonville State

#88 · rated -4.9
at

North Dakota State

unrated
Our call
PassJXST +7.0 · -118 on DK · -6.9% EV · covers 50.4%
Preseason modelNo 2026 games are in the book yet. This line starts from last season and the offseason evidence shown below.
Spread
Our lineNDSU −1.8
MarketNDSU −7as of Aug 28, 12:05 PM EDT
PickJXST +7-118DraftKings

North Dakota State wins by 7 or more in 50% of the games we simulate.

Total
Our total54.7
Market46.5as of Aug 28, 12:05 PM EDT
PickOver 46.5-110DraftKings

The game clears 46.5 in 50% of the games we simulate.

Win probability
Jacksonville State 46%North Dakota State 54%

Shape of the game

Margin
OURS −1.8MARKET −7JXST winsNDSU wins
North Dakota State by 7+50%
Points
OURS 54.7MARKET 46.5more points
Over 46.550%

Line movement

DraftKingsFanDuel
SpreadO/USpreadO/U
Tue Aug 1111:29PMNDSU−7NDSU−7.5
Fri Aug 149:24PMNDSU−747.5NDSU−6.547.5
Wed Aug 199:05AMNDSU−6.547.5NDSU−6.547.5
Fri Aug 219:05AMNDSU−746.5NDSU−6.546.5
Wed Aug 267:05AMNDSU−746.5NDSU−7.546.5
Thu Aug 277:05AMNDSU−746.5NDSU−6.546.5
Fri Aug 2812:05PMNDSU−746.5NDSU−6.546.5
First pull, latest pull, and every pull where DraftKings or FanDuel moved — unchanged pulls are not repeated. Times ET; a snapshot cadence, not a live price.
The line hasn't moved since the first capture.

Prediction by cfb_best at code revision 7ebdce4, run Aug 28, 12:05 PM EDT on 9,503 training games. Once a game kicks off the numbers freeze and grade as-is.