Board · Sat, Aug 29 · 6:30 PM ET · Week 0

Sacramento State

unrated
at

Eastern Michigan

#109 · rated -9.8
Our call
PassSAC +9.5 · -108 on DK · -2.0% EV · covers 50.9%
Preseason modelNo 2026 games are in the book yet. This line starts from last season and the offseason evidence shown below.
Spread
Our lineEMU −0.9
MarketEMU −9.5as of Aug 28, 12:05 PM EDT
PickSAC +9.5-108DraftKings

Eastern Michigan wins by 9.5 or more in 49% of the games we simulate.

Total
Our total56.5
Market53.5as of Aug 28, 12:05 PM EDT
PickOver 53.5-112DraftKings

The game clears 53.5 in 49% of the games we simulate.

Win probability
Sacramento State 48%Eastern Michigan 52%

Shape of the game

Margin
OURS −0.9MARKET −9.5SAC winsEMU wins
Eastern Michigan by 9.5+49%
Points
OURS 56.5MARKET 53.5more points
Over 53.549%

Line movement

DraftKingsFanDuel
SpreadO/USpreadO/U
Tue Aug 1111:29PMEMU−8.5EMU−8.5
Fri Aug 149:24PMEMU−8.552.5EMU−8.552.5
Wed Aug 199:05AMEMU−8.552.5EMU−9.552.5
Sun Aug 239:05AMEMU−9.552.5EMU−9.552.5
Wed Aug 267:05AMEMU−1052.5EMU−9.552.5
Thu Aug 277:05AMEMU−1053.5EMU−10.553.5
Thu Aug 2712:05PMEMU−9.554.5EMU−9.553.5
Thu Aug 275:05PMEMU−9.553.5EMU−9.553.5
Fri Aug 2812:05PMEMU−9.553.5EMU−9.553.5
First pull, latest pull, and every pull where DraftKings or FanDuel moved — unchanged pulls are not repeated. Times ET; a snapshot cadence, not a live price.
Eastern Michigan is the favourite, so the minus number is theirs. The line has come 1 point away from our −0.9.

Prediction by cfb_best at code revision 7ebdce4, run Aug 28, 12:05 PM EDT on 9,503 training games. Once a game kicks off the numbers freeze and grade as-is.