Board · Thu, Oct 15 · 7:30 PM ET · Week 7Week 7 report
Georgia Southern
2–4 · Ours #91Our rank on the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
25–24Our projected score
Old Dominion
2–4 · Ours #111Our rank on the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
Win chanceHow often each team wins the game outright when we play it out thousands of times from our line.GASO 55%
GASO 55%SpreadThe betting line right now: the middle of the sportsbooks we track, updated through the day.GASO −3.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −2 · openedThe DraftKings/FanDuel number captured in the hours after the week's lines opened on Sunday. −3.5
TotalThe betting line right now: the middle of the sportsbooks we track, updated through the day.47.5oursOur computer's projected combined score for both teams, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. 49.0 · opened 48.5
Our call · PassNo bet: our line and the best DraftKings or FanDuel price don't beat the bookmaker's cut on this side.ODU +3.5-110 DraftKings51% to cover · -3.2% EV
ODU +3.5-110 DraftKings51% to cover · -3.2% EVQuarterbackslast game's starter · most dropbacks in each team's last game
Max JohnsonSenior · 6 starts this year
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: passes, sacks (college play-by-play logs scrambles as runs). The rank is among the 134 FBS passers with 15+ dropbacks per team game.
- +0.1265th
- Comp %
- 65.9
- TD
- 11
- Turnovers
- 22 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 6
Quinn HenicleSophomore · 5 starts this year
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: passes, sacks (college play-by-play logs scrambles as runs). The rank is among the 134 FBS passers with 15+ dropbacks per team game.
- −0.28134th
- Comp %
- 54.7
- TD
- 3
- Turnovers
- 44 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 15
The matchupeach offense against the defense it faces · FBS rank in the colored cell
| Old Dominionoffense | Defense edge · 5 of 5 | defenseGeorgia Southern | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136th | −0.18 | Overall efficiencyEfficiencyExpected points added per play. FBS average: +0.09. | +0.03 | 65th |
| 138th | 30.6% | Success rateSuccessShare of plays that keep the offense on schedule. FBS average: 43.6%. | 40.6% | 68th |
| 137th | −0.28 | PassingPassingExpected points added per dropback. FBS average: +0.10. | +0.01 | 67th |
| 128th | −0.10 | RushingRushingExpected points added per run. FBS average: +0.07. | +0.04 | 77th |
| 124th | 9.7% | Big playsBig playsShare of plays gaining 20+ yards passing or 10+ rushing. FBS average: 12.9%. | 11.2% | 57th |
| Georgia Southernoffense | Defense edge · 5 of 5 | defenseOld Dominion | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83rd | +0.05 | Overall efficiencyEfficiencyExpected points added per play. FBS average: +0.09. | −0.15 | 10th |
| 63rd | 43.6% | Success rateSuccessShare of plays that keep the offense on schedule. FBS average: 43.6%. | 34.9% | 18th |
| 62nd | +0.12 | PassingPassingExpected points added per dropback. FBS average: +0.10. | −0.16 | 19th |
| 113th | −0.06 | RushingRushingExpected points added per run. FBS average: +0.07. | −0.15 | 12th |
| 84th | 12.2% | Big playsBig playsShare of plays gaining 20+ yards passing or 10+ rushing. FBS average: 12.9%. | 10.7% | 49th |
Team stats
| Old DominionODU | Georgia SouthernGASO | |
|---|---|---|
| Special teams & field position | ||
| Special teamsSpecial teams expected points added per game. | −6.8137th | −4.6134th |
| Field positionAverage starting field position against the opponent's, in yards. | −4.2124th | −3.2114th |
| Drives & pace | ||
| Scoring chancesShare of drives that reach the opponent's 40. | 39%124th | 49%82nd |
| Points per chancePoints scored per drive that reaches the opponent's 40. | 2.79129th | 4.0670th |
| Time of possession | 22:54130th | 28:0083rd |
| Plays per game | 62105th | 6754th |
| Turnovers & havoc | ||
| Turnover margin | −7 | −5 |
| Giveaways – takeaways | 16 – 9 | 12 – 7 |
| Havoc rateShare of defensive plays with a sack, tackle for loss, interception or forced fumble. | 12.2%16th | 9.8%51st |
Season so far
Georgia Southern2–4 · 59th-hardest schedule
Wvs Charleston Southern31–0covered −28.5
L
at Clemson7–22covered +19.5
at Clemson7–22covered +19.5L
at Jacksonville State27–31missed +3.5
at Jacksonville State27–31missed +3.5L
vs Houston28–42covered +17.5
vs Houston28–42covered +17.5W
at Coastal Carolina31–24covered −2
at Coastal Carolina31–24covered −2L
vs James Madison24–27covered +7
vs James Madison24–27covered +7Old Dominion2–4 · 72nd-hardest schedule
Wvs Norfolk State31–10missed −41
L
at Virginia Tech21–44missed +19.5
at Virginia Tech21–44missed +19.5L
vs East Carolina17–20missed −2.5
vs East Carolina17–20missed −2.5Lvs James Madison20–46missed +6.5
vs James Madison20–46missed +6.5L
at Georgia State10–42missed +2.5
at Georgia State10–42missed +2.5W
at App State10–3covered +9.5
at App State10–3covered +9.5Model cfb_scratch · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Oct 13, 7:26 AM EDT · freezes at kickoff and grades as-is