Market trends
Market patterns we track
Rules about where the market hangs its line — each graded on its own ledger, each carrying the record that would retire it. None of these is a model pick.
0gameslive now
Oct 12, 6:06 PM EDTa week's slate freezes when DraftKings has posted most of it; graded after the week's last final
College · total
High totals go under
College totals in the top 15% of the board land under far more often than they land over.
2021break-even20262025 67–452026 17–16 so far · too early to mean anything
Under opening total at or above 58.557.9%511 games since 20215/5seasons paid—none on the board
College · total
Weeks 0, 1 and 2 go under
College totals in weeks 0, 1 and 2 are hung off last year's scoring, and the games do not oblige.
2021break-even20262025 55–432026 52–48 final · early
Under weeks 0, 1 and 2 of the season, FBS vs FBS, at the opening total58.3%477 games since 20215/5seasons paid—none on the board