Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Wisconsin

4–1 FBS · Big Ten · this season

Rating

+10.8

Rank

19

Résumé

27

Projected wins

8.5▲ 3.8 vs preseason

CFP odds

11%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sun, Sep 69/6at Notre DameNDWIS +30.8WIS +20.5L 13–4134ND · W

Sat, Sep 129/12Western IllinoisWestern IllinoisWIS −36.6WIS −43.5W 36–952

Sat, Sep 199/19Eastern MichiganEMUWIS −14.7WIS −24.5W 54–1086EMU · L

Sat, Sep 269/26at Penn StatePSUWIS +16.9WIS +10.5W 24–2058PSU · L

Sat, Oct 310/3Michigan StateMSUWIS −9.0WIS −10.0W 31–377MSU · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17at UCLAUCLAWIS +4.5WIS +2.5UCLA −2.5Pass

Sat, Oct 2410/24USCUSCWIS PK—wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31at IowaIOWAWIS +4.8—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7RutgersRUTGWIS −24.3—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at MarylandMDWIS −11.6—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21at PurduePURWIS −9.8—wk 12

Fri, Nov 2711/27MinnesotaMINNWIS −14.3—wk 13

Model on WIS games: 1–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 1–1 · as the dog 0–2 · home 1–1, away 0–2 · avg gap to the market +6.4 · closer than the market 2 of 4

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.