Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

USC

6–1 FBS · Big Ten · this season

Rating

+10.2

Rank

23

Résumé

8

Projected wins

8.3▲ 0.5 vs preseason

CFP odds

17%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Aug 298/29San José StateSJSUUSC −27.3USC −38.5W 42–2687SJSU · W

Fri, Sep 49/4Fresno StateFRESUSC −23.9USC −22.5W 39–095USC · W

Sat, Sep 129/12LouisianaULUSC −33.5USC −30.0W 49–3039UL · W

Sat, Sep 199/19at RutgersRUTGUSC −24.1USC −24.5W 42–3553RUTG · W

Sat, Sep 269/26OregonOREUSC PKUSC +1.0L 27–4141USC · L

Sat, Oct 310/3WashingtonWASHUSC −9.3USC −9.5W 25–2147WASH · W

Sat, Oct 1010/10at Penn StatePSUUSC −2.2USC +1.5W 31–2365USC · W

Sat, Oct 2410/24at WisconsinWISUSC PK—wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31Ohio StateOSUUSC +13.8—wk 9

Sat, Nov 1411/14at IndianaIUUSC +8.6—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21MarylandMDUSC −18.1—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at UCLAUCLAUSC +2.8—wk 13

Model on USC games: 6–1 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 1–0 · as the dog 5–1 · home 2–1, away 4–0 · avg gap to the market +3.6 · closer than the market 3 of 7

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.